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-   -   2011-12 Minnesota Wild III - It doesn't matter (http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?t=1123237)

Puhis 02-29-2012 10:24 PM

2011-12 Minnesota Wild III - It doesn't matter
 
Proceed.

Fel 96 02-29-2012 10:31 PM

Don't forget tomorrow's game will be on FSN+.

EDIT: Wait, it's on CBC as well? Awesome.

squidz* 03-01-2012 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fel 96 (Post 45288225)
Don't forget tomorrow's game will be on FSN+.

EDIT: Wait, it's on CBC as well? Awesome.

So I get to choose between alt-channel Dumb and Dumber and CBC's Habs coverage? Talk about a no-win...

tyratoku 03-01-2012 08:12 AM

Wait did we get new "Trade Ideas" "Non Minnesota news" and "Minnesota Wild" threads all in the same day?

http://comicstheblog.com/wp-content/...ovin-on-up.jpg

llamapalooza 03-01-2012 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by squidz (Post 45300163)
So I get to choose between alt-channel Dumb and Dumber and CBC's Habs coverage? Talk about a no-win...

You might be able to get RDS... :laugh:

llamapalooza 03-01-2012 04:42 PM

Puck Daddy just posted a pretty sizable piece on the Wild and "regressing to the mean." We get a few indirect mentions.

What's really interesting is that, among some entirely valid statistics, there are some pretty glaring flaws. Specifically, they repeat the notion of "regressing to the mean," which suggests that we're dealing with dependent events––that the outcome of one game directly affects the next. If they're independent events, which are usually used in probability, then the odds of winning any game is always about the same, regardless of how many games we may have won in unlikely fashion before it. That means we should have gone about .450 (or whatever our Fenwick suggested) in the span after our winning streak--not that the team would lose enough games to fall to .450 in the span of the next 30 games.

It's frustrating that they use the losing streak to validate their prediction that the Wild's success wouldn't last; in fact, probabilistically this losing streak is just as unlikely as a winning streak.

Also, there's no mention of the inconvenient fact that our losing streak coincided with an improvement in our Fenwick and Corsi.

GopherState 03-01-2012 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tyratoku (Post 45300815)
Wait did we get new "Trade Ideas" "Non Minnesota news" and "Minnesota Wild" threads all in the same day?

http://comicstheblog.com/wp-content/...ovin-on-up.jpg

2 out of 3 at the very least.

Avder 03-01-2012 05:02 PM

And were like 50 posts away from the next OT thread.

Were rocking.

Jarick 03-01-2012 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by llamapalooza (Post 45323799)
Puck Daddy just posted a pretty sizable piece on the Wild and "regressing to the mean." We get a few indirect mentions.

What's really interesting is that, among some entirely valid statistics, there are some pretty glaring flaws. Specifically, they repeat the notion of "regressing to the mean," which suggests that we're dealing with dependent events––that the outcome of one game directly affects the next. If they're independent events, which are usually used in probability, then the odds of winning any game is always about the same, regardless of how many games we may have won in unlikely fashion before it. That means we should have gone about .450 (or whatever our Fenwick suggested) in the span after our winning streak--not that the team would lose enough games to fall to .450 in the span of the next 30 games.

It's frustrating that they use the losing streak to validate their prediction that the Wild's success wouldn't last; in fact, probabilistically this losing streak is just as unlikely as a winning streak.

Also, there's no mention of the inconvenient fact that our losing streak coincided with an improvement in our Fenwick and Corsi.

Not only that, but 30 games is NOT a relatively small sample size over an 82 game season. I believe the Wild will be the first team in NHL history to not make the playoffs after leading the league so late in the season.

GopherState 03-01-2012 05:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jarick (Post 45324703)
Not only that, but 30 games is NOT a relatively small sample size over an 82 game season. I believe the Wild will be the first team in NHL history to not make the playoffs after leading the league so late in the season.

At least in the last 30 years.

Fel 96 03-01-2012 08:43 PM

Well, I guess the Wild will recall Hackett tomorrow.

Should be interesting considering the Wild play tomorrow night.

Avder 03-01-2012 09:28 PM

Tomorrows game should be interesting for a few reasons.

Not the least of which is all the messed up avatars.

At least I only have to wear mine for a week.

Fel 96 03-01-2012 09:28 PM

Quote:

Wild GM Chuck Fletcher said it didn't look like a short-term injury for Backstrom. Very unfortunate.
http://twitter.com/#!/FriedgeHNIC/st...04178120769537

So yeah, Hackett will definitely be in Detroit tomorrow.

Fel 96 03-01-2012 09:29 PM

Also, Kassian really deserves his spot in the lineup for the next game.

squidz* 03-01-2012 09:31 PM

So, Hackett or Harding tomorrow? Harding had over a full game tonight (60:30 TOI) so I'd be inclined to go with Hackett. Of course, I would have been going with Hackett regardless so that might not be a fair assessment.

Avder 03-01-2012 09:31 PM

It better damn well be Hackett.

squidz* 03-01-2012 09:34 PM

No Lidstrom tomorrow. Wow.

Avder 03-01-2012 09:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by squidz (Post 45350011)
No Lidstrom tomorrow. Wow.

So that means that game is suddenly winnable?

Wow.

squidz* 03-01-2012 09:35 PM

Yeah, he has a sore ankle.

Puhis 03-01-2012 09:36 PM

Wow, the avatars are seriously throwing me off.

At least I know the one with cluster f-bombs is Avder.

Avder 03-01-2012 09:37 PM

Yeah this is gonna be messed up for the next week.

In fact I think I'll put a countdown timer in my user title.

Edit: there we go. Hopefully that helps.

squidz* 03-01-2012 09:39 PM

We need a fourth. I put the image in the other thread.

Avder 03-01-2012 09:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by squidz (Post 45350571)
We need a fourth. I put the image in the other thread.

What the heck just happened to yours? It went all blurry.

NHL1674 03-01-2012 09:43 PM

Gotta be Harding tomorrow only because of his record vs. Detroit. After that, it's Hackett time! I really want to see how this kid can handle some pressure.

Fel 96 03-01-2012 09:45 PM

Oh yeah, the Harding's Detroit law.

I kinda forget it.


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