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I am the Liquor 12-14-2012 02:15 AM

Draft simulator/mock draft
 
Ran a draft simulator and we end up with 19th overall.

Who should we take?

Keep in mind 18 players have been picked already.



1. Florida(2)- Nathan Mackinnon
2. Calgary(3)- Seth Jones
3. Ottawa(2)- Aleksander Barkov
4. Pittsburgh(1)- Jonathan Drouin
5. Columbus(3)- Sean Monahan
6. NY Islanders(2)- Curtis Lazar
7. Toronto(3)- Hunter Shinkaruk
8. Anaheim(2)- Elias Lindholm
9. Los Angeles(1)- Rasmus Ristolainen
10. Philadelphia(1)- Darnell Nurse
11. Dallas(3)- Andre Burakowsky
12. Boston(1)- Valery Nichushkin
13. New Jersey(1)- Artturi Lehkonen
14. Carolina(3)- Jason Dickenson
15. Tampa Bay(2)- Ryan Pulock
16. Chicago(1)- Steve Santini
17. Washington(1)- Robert Hagg
18. Winnipeg(3)- Adam Erne
19. Edmonton(1)?
20. Minnesota(3)
21. Colorado(2)
22. Montreal(1)
23. St. Louis(1)
24. Detroit(1)
25. Phoenix(1)
26. San Jose(1)
27. Buffalo(1)
28. NY Rangers(1)
29. Vancouver(1)
30. Nashville(1)

Number of balls per team in parenthesis. For a more detailed explanation check out the link here.

dnicks17 12-14-2012 02:40 AM

I think it comes down to Zadorov or Kujawinski for me.

6'5'' 230lbs, mean, mobile Russian D who's more defensively minded, but isn't without skill or the 6'2'' 205lb, fast, skilled two-way center who reminded me a lot of Rick Nash when I saw him play.


I'd probably go with Kujawinski. I think he has more potential and could be a perfect #2C down the road.

I am the Liquor 12-14-2012 02:43 AM

Lots of good choices still at #19.

What about a big skilled forward like Anthony Mantha or Frederik Gauthier?

Gauthier could be the answer to our #2C.

Ive seen Mantha play and was impressed. Not seen much or hardly any of Gauthier though.

Joey Moss 12-14-2012 02:44 AM

I picked Zadorov. It was either him or Morrisey for me. Hopefully we're in a better position to get a center.

Dave 12-14-2012 03:23 AM

How does the draft work if this season is lost?

Nail Yakupov 12-14-2012 03:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joey Moss (Post 56531371)
I picked Zadorov. It was either him or Morrisey for me. Hopefully we're in a better position to get a center.

I like Zadarov as well. The thought of Drouin in Pittsburgh is scary :shakehead

Baggie 12-14-2012 04:17 AM

Zadorov or Gauthier. Voted Gauthier because, although difficult to predict, I think he'd be an oilers roster player faster, providing help at 2nd or 3rd line center department.

I believe there will be atleast a 48 game season, predicting (and hoping for later pick/better performance) we'll draft in range of ~10th overall. At that range I believe one of (not in order) Pulock, Nurse, Ristolainen, Lazar will be available - would be equally happy with any of those.

DousedInOil 12-14-2012 08:44 AM

I went with Josh Morrisey. I think he fills a need on the back end although Zadorov was tempting.

doubledown99 12-14-2012 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DousedInOil (Post 56533523)
I went with Josh Morrisey. I think he fills a need on the back end although Zadorov was tempting.

Yeah I like Morrisey in that spot. Though I would be hoping for Nurse to drop to us in ideal world. We haven't had a player like Darnell in ages on the Oilers. If not Nurse than I would hope Dickenson falls to us.

Haven't watched the Q so can't comment on those players. Have read good things about Mantha...

I am the Liquor 12-14-2012 09:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave (Post 56531577)
How does the draft work if this season is lost?

There is a ping pong ball lottery. Teams start out with three balls each and lose balls for playoff appearances and/or lottery picks in the previous three seasons.

The Oilers would have one ball. I ran a simulation under those parameters and it had the draft order I included in the OP with the Oilers picking 19th.

Since the lockout could conceivably go all year, I thought this may be interesting and possibly give us something to talk about for a bit.

misfit 12-14-2012 10:13 AM

I know people would be pissed with another small forward, but I think you've got to go with Max Domi if things shook out this way. Zadarov would have to be a consideration too.

Lacaar 12-14-2012 10:19 AM

I'm only familiar with the top ten.. force of habit with our team. :P

oilersfan11 12-14-2012 10:53 AM

I would pick Max Domi

jukon 12-14-2012 11:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lacaar (Post 56535301)
I'm only familiar with the top ten.. force of habit with our team. :P

Yeah more like top 3 lately. It's depressing to think that we will be drafting so high without the benefits of success. I really hope there will be some sort of shortened season. If we draft high, I want it to be because we played well.

dnicks17 12-14-2012 11:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by doubledown99 (Post 56533955)
Yeah I like Morrisey in that spot. Though I would be hoping for Nurse to drop to us in ideal world. We haven't had a player like Darnell in ages on the Oilers. If not Nurse than I would hope Dickenson falls to us.

Haven't watched the Q so can't comment on those players. Have read good things about Mantha...

I like the cut of your jib. ;)

I'm a big fan of Nurse and Dickinson too.

nofool6110 12-14-2012 11:47 AM

Voted Gauthier, although seeing Seth Jones in Flames silks would make me sick.

canovin 12-14-2012 01:08 PM

Seth Jones and Nurse patrolling Oilers blue line would be sick. No bodies is getting through. :laugh:

Namtsua 12-14-2012 01:10 PM

Do you mind posting how many lottery balls each team will have? If just seems strange that LA is in the top 10 and Pittsburgh in the top 5...

Joey Moss 12-14-2012 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oilersfan11 (Post 56535909)
I would pick Max Domi

Most people would jump on him for his name. Seriously? He's smaller than Gagner for god sakes.

Grod 12-14-2012 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DousedInOil (Post 56533523)
I went with Josh Morrisey. I think he fills a need on the back end although Zadorov was tempting.

Thank God I'm not the only one. Morrissey drops that far you don't look back.

Baggie 12-14-2012 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Namtsua (Post 56539403)
Do you mind posting how many lottery balls each team will have? If just seems strange that LA is in the top 10 and Pittsburgh in the top 5...

Even if these teams had just one ball and some other teams had more, it's still random. Therefore random outcome should not be surprising, even though the above result does not even seem very unlikely.

However, some scientists are arguing whether randomness exists at all.

I am the Liquor 12-14-2012 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Namtsua (Post 56539403)
Do you mind posting how many lottery balls each team will have? If just seems strange that LA is in the top 10 and Pittsburgh in the top 5...

Check the op, updated in there, number of balls in parenthesis and a link to a more detailed explanation of the draft if there isnt any games played this season.

There will be no draft until a new cba is ratified.

Order of players was taken from the ISS list. I believe I altered it once so Anaheim didnt have to take another dman.

Complete ISS list can be seen here.

For simulating the draft order, I used this. You can try it yourself if you like.

Joe Hallenback 12-14-2012 02:00 PM

I went with Gauthier. Big lanky center. A bit of project pick but someone who might step in a few years from slotting behind RNH.

I can't imagine the Oilers choosing Domi. Too many smallish forwards as it is. Hell of a talent though

dnicks17 12-14-2012 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joey Moss (Post 56539737)
Most people would jump on him for his name. Seriously? He's smaller than Gagner for god sakes.

Yeah, I've seen him in plain clothes and I would bet the Knights' measurement of 5'10'' 194lbs is generous by about 2'' and 25lbs

McEwen 12-14-2012 02:09 PM

If NHL 13 is any indication, Nikita Zadorov has turned out for me. Four years after drafting him he turned into a number three d-man for me.


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