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-   -   BDT: Jets @ Flyers | Sat Feb 23 | 1200 Noon CT | Wells Fargo Center | "Statiscal Edition" (http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?t=1358037)

garret9 02-23-2013 12:54 AM

Jets @ Flyers | Sat Feb 23 | 1200 Noon CT | Wells Fargo Center | "Statiscal Edition"
 

7-8-1, 15pts @ 8-10-1, 17pts

Non-statistical game preview: Jets.NHL.com

Lineup
LWCRW
3rd period PIM/60: 10^30... Giveaways/60: 1.6... Obvious 3rd line scrub
Draft+1 Junior: 1.88 pts/gp (What's Scheifele's?)... 5'11, 175 lbs
3rd period PIM/60: 10^31 (not including unsportsmanlike conduct penalties)... Giveaways/60: 1.3... Obvious 1st line beauty
$100,000 per money phone; 10 dollar haircut... 10 classless Subbans
2011-12 PK RelCorsi: 31.2 (3rd best in league)... 28th highest pts/gp as 20 or under since lockout... Obviously offensive bust
Top speed: 5 meters/hr... flack/$$ = ∞
Not Ponikarovsky
30 burgers consumption per min... PDO (“luck”): 908 (that's “unlucky”!)
Top 2 in team possession two years running... Last season team leader in secondary assists
RelCorsi under same usage: Glass -21.1, “this guy” -12.4
52% of Jets' 2011-12 bottom6 even strength goals; 2012-13 FO 57.2% (16th in NHL)
...
LDRD
113 days without hockey = success... 6 G/GP
There is only 1 true Bro
Evolutionary path: Clitnone -> Clitsome -> Clitmore “265” lbs *wink, wink*... 1 of only 3 defensemen to be in both top 10 for 5v5 and 5v4 pts/60 in 2011-12
Heart + Grit = ∞ Draft+2 pts/gp: 1.20 (JUST under Telegin and Lowry)... “defenseman”
G
220 lbs (2nd in NHL for goalies)... career sv% 0.906
career sv% 0.905 (severely lowered by money-train bulldozing)

Flyers
McGinn - Giroux - Voracek
Briere - Schenn - Simmonds
Talbot - Not Scheifele - Knuble
Zolnierczyk - Fedotenko - Rinaldo
Timonen - Schenn
Coburn - Grossmann
Gustafsson - Gervais
Bear in Forest
Boucher

Team lines are subject to change


Team Stats
JetsStatisticFlyers
50.78 Fenwick 49.74
50.57 FenwickHome 51.13
51.04 FenwickAway 48.58
28.9 5v5 SF/60 27.8
28.8 5v5 SA/60 28.2
909 5v5 SV% 898
33.3 PP SF/60 52.2
44.4 PK SA/60 45.1


Battle of Shutdown C: Couturier vs. Burmistrov
2011-12 Malkin WOWY CF%:
 CF/20CA/20CF%
W/ Couturier 22.38 15.07 59.8
W/O Couturier 22.03 17.01 56.4
W/ Burmistrov 19.07 22.00 46.4
W/O Burmistrov 22.09 16.87 56.7
Looks like Malkin actually does better offensively/defensively against Couturier than on average... but the opposite for the Burminator


Statistics and Stuff
Ever had someone say that guys is a ___ line player. Well here's the stuff.
There is a row for this season and last season. (Where applicable) You can see where they list in NHL as a forward or defensman, and for their individual position for forwards. In the relative to position columns, there is a rating (1-4 for forwards, 1-3 for D) on level of difficulty for usage stats, and level of competence for result stats.

For stat information, please see post #2 for glossary.

Ladd:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13 1.034 52.28.56.5029.528.51.630.812.98
Rel. F 69 (1)191 (3)83 (1)96 (2)70 (1)246 (3)15 (1)93 (2)19 (1)
Rel. LW20 (1)45 (3)25 (2)25 (2)24 (2)67 (3)3 (1)24 (2)5 (1)
2011-120.48757.817.112.7431.925.61.080.391.77
Rel. F156 (2)328 (4)7 (1)31 (1)25 (1)128 (2)34 (1)269 (3)137 (2)
Rel. LW42 (2)89 (4)2 (1)10 (1)7 (1)36 (2)12 (1)72 (3)44 (2)
Little:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-131.02643.41.01.3529.428.30.270.811.62
Rel. F71 (1)75 (1)164 (2)150 (2)73 (1)241 (3)268 (3)94 (2)152 (2)
Rel. C36 (1)44 (2)69 (2)66 (2)45 (2)111 (3)118 (3)51 (2)69 (2)
2011-120.56553.613.410.4231.925.60.850.531.53
Rel. F138 (2)259 (3)29 (1)46 (1)58 (1)203 (3)101 (2)190 (3)193 (3)
Rel. C65 (2)122 (3)15 (1)23 (1)27 (1)92 (3)33 (1)87 (3)85 (3)
Wheeler:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-130.65853.4-2.1-0.8329.526.21.390.832.78
Rel. F114 (2)207 (3)197 (2)182 (2)69 (1)179 (2)33 (1)89 (2)32 (1)
Rel. RW28 (2)55 (3)54 (3)48 (3)14 (1)44 (2)9 (1)21 (1)10 (1)
2011-120.31957.812.69.3731.627.50.521.002.05
Rel. F207 (3)327 (4)35 (1)55 (1)28 (1)235 (3)241 (3)23 (1)80 (1)
Rel. RW53 (3)90 (4)9 (1)15 (1)8 (1)65 (3)59 (3)7 (1)23 (1)


Kane:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-0.24057.42.42.3030.624.80.771.022.04
Rel. F245 (3)258 (4)148 (2)137 (2)54 (1)135 (2)129 (2)57 (1)93 (2)
Rel. LW68 (4)70 (4)43 (2)41 (2)17 (1)41 (2)32 (2)16 (1)23 (2)
2011-12-0.02857.68.76.2130.225.81.260.552.42
Rel. F263 (3)322 (4)69 (1)87 (1)56 (1)137 (2)13 (1)172 (2)33 (1)
Rel. LW75 (3)88 (4)23 (1)25 (1)16 (1)38 (2)5 (1)42 (2)10 (1)
Burmistrov:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-1313.8253.58.86.9524.624.00.580.00
Rel. F173 (3)211 (3)80 (1)95 (2)206 (3)112 (2)176 (3)NA222 (3)
Rel. C78 (2)101 (3)37 (1)46 (2)89 (3)57 (2)73 (2) NA99 (3)
2011-12-0.09758.77.97.2427.924.30.600.421.32
Rel. F270 (3)333 (4)78 (1)77 (1)119 (2)70 (1)208 (3)253 (3)245 (3)
Rel. C118 (3)151 (4)37 (1)33 (1)49 (2)34 (1)86 (3)117 (3)114 (3)
Antropov:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-130.80158.1-1.7-0.6029.428.80.300.901.20
Rel. F95 (2)272 (4)193 (3)176 (3)71 (1)257 (3)254 (3)80 (1)220 (3)
Rel. RW20 (1)75 (4)53 (3)46 (3)15 (1)68 (4)72 (4)17 (1)61 (3)
2011-120.08056.71.51.9627.325.10.770.701.75
Rel. F233 (3)313 (4)164 (2)148 (2)138 (2)109 (2)131 (2)98 (2)142 (2)
Rel. RW68 (3)84 (4)48 (2)41 (2)35 (2)26 (2)40 (2)28 (2)41 (2)

Tangradi:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-1.03852.6-1.23.6822.123.60.000.000.00
2011-12-0.74067.4-3.411.0324.222.70.000.310.61
Jokinen:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-0.75256.2-3.7-2.0028.026.60.290.000.29
Rel. F288 (4)242 (3)213 (3)188 (3)105 (2)191 (3)260 (3)NA322 (4)
Rel. C132 (4)113 (4)95 (3)81 (3)33 (1)91 (3)114 (3)NA148 (4)
2011-122.05647.9-6.3-10.2525.031.00.650.751.80
Rel. F2 (1)123 (2)274 (3)323 (4)263 (3)359 (4)184 (3)79 (1)130 (2)
Rel. C1 (1)64 (2)116 (3)141 (3)113 (3)161 (4)71 (2)40 (1)51 (2)
Wellwood:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-130.13849.417.412.3423.622.10.000.750.75
Rel. F187 (3)147 (2)32 (1)47 (1)228 (3)63 (1)NA110 (2)284 (4)
Rel. RW49 (3)35 (2)5 (1)13 (1)61 (3)13 (1)NA25 (2)80 (4)
2011-120.10560.515.812.6530.323.60.750.682.15
Rel. F240 (3)343 (4)14 (1)32 (1)52 (1)36 (1)139 (2)110 (2)63 (1)
Rel. RW67 (3)95 (4)5 (1)10 (1)14 (1)13 (1)41 (2)29 (2)17 (1)

Wright:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-1.99443.5-4.7-3.1623.423.40.000.000.00
Rel. F332 (4)77 (1)223 (3)205 (3)232 (3)90 (2)NANANA
Rel. LW911865626730NANANA
Slater:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-1.38724.5-16.9-13.4519.923.90.500.001.00
Rel. F318 (4)7 (1)306 (4)292 (4)297 (4)107 (2)199 (3)NA252 (3)
Rel. C145 (4)4 (1)138 (4)133 (4)136 (4)53 (2)86 (3)NA114 (3)
2011-120.90028.5-27.9-20.1122.730.50.750.371.25
Rel. F60 (1)4 (1)367 (4)363 (4)329 (4)351 (4)134 (2)275 (3)261 (3)
Rel. C31 (1)4 (1)163 (4)162 (4)145 (4)157 (4)45 (2)127 (4)119 (3)
Thorburn:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-1.61735.7-10.8-9.7123.724.90.610.000.61
Rel. F322 (4)33 (1)266 (4)268 (4)223 (3)138 (2)171 (3)NA299 (4)
Rel. RW88 (4)6 (1)70 (4)74 (4)60 (3)27 (1)56 (3)NA86 (4)
2011-120.63138.8-21.8-17.7022.028.30.350.520.95
Rel. F116 (2)25 (1)363 (4)358 (4)344 (4)286 (4)300 (4)194 (3)312 (4)
Rel. RW32 (2)2 (1)98 (4)99 (4)95 (4)82 (4)84 (4)60 (3)85 (4)

Hainsey:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-130.17142.4-20.5-12.1123.127.70.000.000.22
Rel. D100 (2)23 (1)162 (3)145 (3)136 (3)112 (3)NANA148 (3)
2011-120.55246.9-7.4-3.3626.626.20.000.210.50
Rel. D81 (2)56 (1)158 (3)114 (2)97 (2)79 (2)NA43 (1)163 (3)
Bogosian:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-130.88236.7-3.80.0020.527.30.000.980.98
2011-120.59149.4-0.2-3.3028.327.00.210.321.12
Rel. D74 (2)91 (2)119 (2)99 (2)50 (1)101 (2)56 (1)66 (1)13 (1)

Byfuglien:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-131.83950.3-5.8-4.2929.529.50.000.200.57
Rel. D10 (1)88 (2)109 (2)107 (2)29 (1)144 (2)NA66 (1)94 (1)
2011-120.67453.414.511.1831.326.10.280.420.99
Rel. D66 (1)151 (3)6 (1)26 (1)11 (1)130 (2)21 (1)29 (1)7 (1)
Clitsome:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-0.51666.416.111.0028.130.20.410.410.82
Rel. D120 (3)138 (3)5 (1)21 (1)44 (1)148 (3)26 (1)43 (1)62 (2)
2011-12-0.42649.7-0.2-3.3023.427.90.210.280.76
Rel. D169 (3)97 (2)93 (2)113 (2)177 (3)135 (3)57 (1)84 (2)83 (2)

Stuart:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-130.18144.9-2.5-1.0324.224.40.260.000.26
Rel. D95 (2)40 (1)89 (2)86 (2)117 (3)50 (1)47 (1)NA138 (3)
2011-12-0.10350.2-6.2-3.4225.327.30.050.210.64
Rel. D143(3)106(2)145(3)115(2)136(3)117(2)166(3)121(2)120(2)
Postma:
 RelQoCOZSRelCorsiCorsiSF/60SA/60G/60A1/60P/60
2012-13-1.18359.620.915.8530.125.60.000.650.97
Rel. D159 (3)155 (3)5 (1)10 (1)24 (1)72 (2)NA15 (1)49 (1)


garret9 02-23-2013 12:55 AM

Glossary

Usage Stats:
RelQoC: level of difficulty in match-ups
OZS: percentage of shifts that start in the offensive zone (higher = easier)

Results Stats:
Corsi: differential like +/- but includes shots, blocked shots and missed shots, and is per TOI
RelCorsi: difference between team's Corsi when on the ice and team's Corsi when player is not on ice
SF/60: shots for per 60 mins of play
SA/60: shots against per 60 mins of play
G/60: players goals per 60 mins of play
A1/60: players primary assits per 60 mins of play
P/60: players points per 60 mins of play
Fenwick: differential like Corsi, but does not include blocked shots (since blocked shots can be a repeatable team strategy)
CF + CA + CF%: these are just Corsi events (so shots, blocked shots, goals, and missed shots); CF is CorsiFor; CA is CorsiAgainst; CF% is a ratio CF/(CF+CA)

The site I use for stats (behindthenet.ca) doesn't have everyones position correct, many players who play wing are still marked as centres. So, I had to make an assumption that the players who are placed incorrectly are somewhat evenly dispersed through all skill levels (4th line Wright all the way up to 1st line Eberle). To work for this, the cutt-off for what line your player is on depends on the number of people pooled to that position. I gathered if player 'A' is in top quarter there, then they are most likely in the top third in actuality.

I didn't do Tangradi (this or last year) + Bogosian (this year) due to not fitting in my arbitrary sample size cut-off.

allan5oh 02-23-2013 12:55 AM

My eyes burn.

Mathil8 02-23-2013 12:56 AM

Oh god, it burns. This will take me a while to get through :nod:

Edit: Finally read it. Very statsy indeed. Definitely a nice... deviation from the standard B/GDTs :clap:

Lynk 02-23-2013 01:02 AM

I need a new brain. STAT.

garret9 02-23-2013 01:03 AM

Bahaha i win ... :d

Boreal 02-23-2013 01:05 AM

Beast thread. Love it.

sully1410 02-23-2013 01:09 AM

That's alot of Corsi...

DespoticNewt 02-23-2013 01:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sully1410 (Post 60289211)
That's alot of Corsi...

When Garret goes to weddings, he makes sure that everyone can see his Corsit.

Lynk 02-23-2013 01:14 AM

What's garret's favorite type of candle?.....







A Fenwick.

JustGivingEr 02-23-2013 01:17 AM

:laugh: The Jets lineup is awesome.

YWGinYYZ 02-23-2013 01:22 AM

But the description for the 3rd line LW doesn't sound like Ladd! ;)

Nice job! :nod:

Should be a good tilt today. Always entertaining when the Jets and Philly collide.

Go :jets Go!

garret9 02-23-2013 01:28 AM

I'll do GDT's again but NEVER will I do this again... this took HOURS :cry:

Gnova 02-23-2013 02:33 AM

Nice BDT!!

Jets 9 Flyers 3

Tintin's Ghost 02-23-2013 03:08 AM

Great work on this, garret. I really liked how you did up the Jets lineup.

If effort stays at level it's been for past week and a half then Jets have a chance to dictate pace of this game. Gotta think Flyers come out hard for this one after a few bad losses.

To sleep and sobriety and good game in the morning.

GO JETS GO

Kent C Tugood 02-23-2013 03:18 AM

It was my understanding that there would be no math!

4-2 Jets. Kane, Wellwood, Wheeler, Littler, in such order!

teucer 02-23-2013 04:02 AM

http://l3.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/R7...0.48.32-AM.jpg

Anyone know if this guy is starting?

DespoticNewt 02-23-2013 05:38 AM

Jets need to win this one to have the first leg of their road trip be above .500, as I don't see wins against NJ or the Rags.

Romang67 02-23-2013 06:01 AM

I really could get used to watching the games at 7PM with some friends and tons of beer, instead of watching them in the morning before work in the dark.

Awesome stats garret9! :laugh:

King Woodballs 02-23-2013 06:42 AM

All signs point to a win.

Hope it stays true.

Tdoe42 02-23-2013 06:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by garret9 (Post 60289611)
I'll do GDT's again but NEVER will I do this again... this took HOURS :cry:

Dont worry it will take me hours to read :laugh: Great job Bro!

P.S Can our Graphics Dept and our Stats Dept meet in the conference room... Lets make a Baby!!... Or just some snazy templates!!

TroubaFan1 02-23-2013 07:11 AM

This game is going to be tough to predict, but I see the Jets winning 4-3 in OT or a SO. Go Jets Go! :handclap: :yo:

bigplay41* 02-23-2013 08:00 AM

Not a fan of these afternoon games. Stuck at work!

King Woodballs 02-23-2013 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigplay41 (Post 60293141)
Not a fan of these afternoon games. Stuck at work!

Agreed.
However, I am not stuck at work, but have things to do today.

pateramus 02-23-2013 08:16 AM

live web feed?
 
I'm stuck at work too, is there a live web feed that we can watch this?


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