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-   -   Are playoffs still makeable? (http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?t=1374739)

Oiltankjob Fail 03-13-2013 02:10 AM

Are playoffs still makeable?
 
We have 22 games left. But we have played the least home games at 10 . So this leaves us with 14 home 8 road games left. I think we can still squeak out 8th spot.

Diamondillium 03-13-2013 02:15 AM

Is it possible? Yes
Is it likely? Chances do mathematically point against it.
Do I have hope and faith? Damn straight.

One good hot streak and we're in, especially in a season like this one.

GreatMcKeith 03-13-2013 02:15 AM

Probably not but things look a lot better right now than they did a few days ago. If they finish 9th-11th I won't be too upset.

dixs35 03-13-2013 02:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oiltankjob 4 93 64 (Post 61563111)
We have 22 games left. But we have played the least home games at 10 . So this leaves us with 14 home 8 road games left. I think we can still squeak out 8th spot.

do you honestly see them going 14-7

The Nuge 03-13-2013 02:16 AM

It definitely COULD happen, but I'm not really counting on it. We're lucky Chicago and Anaheim has such hot starts, because it lowered the points everyone has right now. There's 8 points between 3rd and 15th

Joey Moss 03-13-2013 02:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Diamondillium (Post 61563159)
Is it possible? Yes
Is it likely? Chances do mathematically point against it.
Do I have hope and faith? Damn straight.

One good hot streak and we're in, especially in a season like this one.

Sums it up perfectly. We are 5 points away from the division lead right now let alone 3 from a playoff spot.

Oiltankjob Fail 03-13-2013 02:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dixs35 (Post 61563173)
do you honestly see them going 14-7

If they get hot at home and go 8-3 3 and finish off the road at 4-3-1 which would make us 500 on road it can be done. We just need to play strong at home with proper line match ups and refuse to lose attitude. Home games the key.

dixs35 03-13-2013 02:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oiltankjob 4 93 64 (Post 61563231)
If they get hot at home and go 8-3 3 and finish off the road at 4-3-1 which would make us 500 on road it can be done. We just need to play strong at home with proper line match ups and refuse to lose attitude. Home games the key.

well if they win 3 of there next 4 on this home stand I will start to believe its a possibility. Here's to hoping.:handclap:

Oiltankjob Fail 03-13-2013 02:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dixs35 (Post 61563279)
well if they win 3 of there next 4 on this home stand I will start to believe its a possibility. Here's to hoping.:handclap:

If they do I will get rid of my avatar :nod:

flashy 03-13-2013 02:34 AM

No. Far to many defensive teams in the west. This team can't compete with them.

I stick by my prediction of a bottom 5 finish.

402 03-13-2013 02:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Diamondillium (Post 61563159)
Is it possible? Yes
Is it likely? Chances do mathematically point against it.
Do I have hope and faith? Damn straight.

One good hot streak and we're in, especially in a season like this one.

Exactly.
We are only like 3 points out its super tight but we'll need to put together a decent win streak.

A wise guy told me if i have low expectations i won't be disappointed. To bad i didn't listen to him.

If we make a decent trade at the deadline and stay healthy we have a chance, a small chamce, but still a chance.

AlowlyMcOilersfan 03-13-2013 02:52 AM

Yes, but we have to at least win the majority of our divisional games from this point out.

McIce Whole 03-13-2013 03:51 AM

Well, we still have about 45-46% of the season left, so it is possible but I doubt it. I hope they do but it seems like whenever we start to get our hopes up, this team lets us down. Also, it's still kind of early to tell. Once we get near the trade deadline, that's when we will have a much better idea. If we are in the race, I hope Tambo does his job (haha) and brings in the players that we need to push us over the top. Anything can happen in the playoffs and even if we dont get far, at least we will gain some experience.

plikestechno 03-13-2013 03:53 AM

Have to go 13-9 or 14-8 at the minimum i think. With everyone in the west playing each other every night with no games against the east i think its more possible right now than in a regular season setup. I always look to see how many 3 point games were played on any given night and im sure the oilers do too.

They're just going to have to find ways to beat trapping, gritty teams and dubes and khabby will have to be stellar.

Do I think it will happen? Probably not. But going into the year i just wanted them to finish out of the bottom 5 and be better than Calgary. That may have a real chance of happening.

I think next year will be more of a pronounced jump especially with the number of teams wiping overpaid but still decent nhlers off their payroll because theyre too close to the cap. We'll also get to play the east again.An all western conference sked doesnt do the oilers any favours.

Maybe therell be a coaching and gm change as well but if they finish 10th or 11th i think that will be enough for tambo and kruger to save their jobs.

I think it will be interesting to see who goes at the trading deadline if we got hot, or conversely if we tank. How the trade deadline and this summer go for the oilers i think will make or break this team for the next few years. The opportunity is there to cut a lot of fat and use the money to fill grit, size and talent holes. Use the money wrong though and its time to start the rebuild again.

We're close to 8th but just as close to 15th.

thadd 03-13-2013 04:54 AM

I'm not getting my hopes up.

It is possible. It's been a crazy up and down season for a lot of teams.

If RNH and Gagner combined won 45% of their faceoffs or better, we'd win easily.

Jepprey 03-13-2013 05:07 AM

They need win streaks.

Matt Ryan 03-13-2013 06:43 AM

The next eight games are the perfect time to go on a winning streak and try to get at least 12-14 points out of it. We play the falling Sharks and the Preds who we ususally do well against twice.

We also play the flames three times, which they suck but always play like ****ing gods against us.

Even if all goes right, the end of the season is really, really tough. We have Anaheim THREE times, chicago once, and minny a few times as well.

OilerMcLord 03-13-2013 06:55 AM

As it stands we currently only have a 13.1% chance of making it, but I am not giving up hope.

Here is a great page for the odds of teams making playoffs.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western.html

Go Oilers!

JMecc 03-13-2013 08:23 AM

If we go 13-6-3 (1/3 of our losses still get us a point is consistent with the season up to now), we get to 54 pts which gives us a decent shot at the playoffs.

It's possible, but that would mean .659 hockey instead of the .481 we have now. The '3 points back' is kinda deceiving because it looks like we could easily catch that up on some team when we win 2 and they lose 2, but in reality it means a whole bunch of teams all have to falter for us to catch them which won't happen. We'd need to just outdo the rest by having a huge winning streak. I'm still hopeful for a win every game and not cheering for picks - we need to be a respectable team for FA's to come to and for other teams to fear.

joestevens29 03-13-2013 08:40 AM

We are 3 points out so ya it's quite makeable. Our destiny much like everyone else's is in our own hands. All conference games and right now there is only 8 points from 3rd-15th.

oilphan 03-13-2013 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dixs35 (Post 61563173)
do you honestly see them going 14-7

A good 5 game winning streak, and we need to go 9-7 the rest of the way. Not a high probability, but I would not discount it either.

Section337 03-13-2013 08:47 AM

Lot of mediocre teams makes it possible, the number of teams they have to jump over makes it unlikely.

Halibut 03-13-2013 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oilphan (Post 61567605)
A good 5 game winning streak, and we need to go 9-7 the rest of the way. Not a high probability, but I would not discount it either.

When's the last time this team had a 5 game win streak? I agree there's a chance but realistically it's slim. More likely we only win 7 more in regulation the rest of the way rather than only losing that few. We have a bunch of games against Minny and Van yet and we really have to beat the Flames every time we play them to get a shot at the division title. That might be easier to get than 8th spot.

stoff 03-13-2013 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Section337 (Post 61567737)
Lot of mediocre teams makes it possible, the number of teams they have to jump over makes it unlikely.

That's the thing. Even with a winning streak we make up ground very slowly. 13-5-4 is about what we have to finish with, which is possible with lots of home dates.

Either way it's nice to be talking about this rather than tanking slogans.

dem 03-13-2013 10:31 AM

If we can put up a good home stand... we will be "in the hunt"


That said... so will a bunch of other teams.. so the odds of us making it would be pretty low.


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