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-   -   Prospect Info: Justin Bailey, RW/C 52nd Overall, 2013 (http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?t=1458217)

Woodhouse 06-30-2013 06:06 PM

Justin Bailey, RW/C 52nd Overall, 2013
 
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SourceQuote and/or Scouting Report
Tall and skinny winger with soft and hands and excellent anticipation. He has good speed, and strong push in his stride. He uses a shorter stick that allows him to play well in traffic and will use his skill and athleticism to his advantage. Creates shooting lanes and has a nice release. Dislaps a quick release. Creates turnovers and is smart with his passes. He must improve balance, and add leg strength.
Bailey owns one of the best shots in the entire draft class, and has incredible athleticism and skating ability; looks like a linebacker on ice but has great hands. Injuries slowed him some this year and doesn't play as big as people want him to be, but still competes and puts forth an honest effort each shift.
"Bailey has made me both excited and disappointed this season," say Dan Stewart. "His rookie season in the OHL was an up and down affair just as his consistency levels can be in games. He would make you fall in love with him one game after a power rush where he also shows skilled hands and/or a powerful shot; then grow frustrated with him the next few shifts as he seems content to just float around not engaging in the ongoing action. Bailey had a very strong beginning to 2013 in January and February but his play and consistency again dropped off towards the end of the year as he ended the regular season with just one assist in his final eight games. The NHL team looking at Bailey will need to realize it is likely top six role or bust as he just does not have the consistent work rate to maintain a bottom six checking role. With that said his upside is very high if he can put everything together."
If he ever puts it all together, Bailey would be the ideal prospect for many a squad. He’s huge, at 6’3, 200+ pounds. He’s got hands, but is currently unable to dominate a game. The other knock on Bailey is that he doesn’t use his imposing size to its full effect. He doesn’t shy away from contact, but he could be better served adding more muscle to his frame and learning how to separate his opponents from the puck.
While he may not have quite lived up to the unfair and lofty expectations, Justin certainly had a very successful rookie season. Things started out slowly for Justin receiving ice primarily on the 4th line. He never really moved beyond the 3rd line this season due to the tremendous depth and veteran presence on the Rangers, but he worked well with his line mates providing some depth scoring down the stretch. Bailey’s work ethic improved and he battled for loose pucks and attempted to create turnovers. Justin likes to have the puck on his stick and is always looking for scoring opportunities in the offensive zone. He has shown some flashes of creativity with the puck. He works hard to be reliable in the defensive zone and is good at assisting his defenders down low and can play a full 200 feet. He has a tremendous shot that fools many goaltenders. His skating stride is fairly choppy and he has issues generating speed in his first few steps. While he is capable of reaching a good speed for a 6’3” forward, he needs to continue to work on his skating in the offseason. Although he’s a big kid, Bailey rarely gets involved in the physical aspect of the game, which may be a confidence issue at this point. He should look to add strength to his frame in the offseason in preparation for next year. Bailey will be looked upon to play a much larger role in the Rangers offensive plans next season as they graduate a number of key veterans.
Bailey is a high-upside forward with a multitude of tools, but he also carries some risk. He is a good skater, and he can generate a ton of speed, but he has a bit of an awkward stride, as he tends to not extend well through every step. He is a skilled player who can make above-average plays with the puck in stickhandling or passing, and he can flash flashes high-end ability with the puck. His shot is great, as it is both heavy and accurate. He has a decent frame, and is able to display a solid physical game in terms of his puck protection. He works hard on the ice, and he projects as a quality physical player, though he still has some bulking up to do. He is very raw, as injuries have hindered his ability to get a high number of repetitions. Whoever drafts Bailey inherits the risk of a player that has a fairly equal chance of being a top-six player or a bust.
Bailey adjusted well in his first season of major junior, combining a long reach, heavy shot, and powerful skating stride to secure 17 goals for Steve Spott's Rangers. A learning curve and mid-season spike in production were expected, as was the slight dropoff as the long junior season raged on. Regardless, all the power forward tools are in place, so now it's just a matter of bringing it all together with added strength, conditioning, and consistency. The skill and character foundations are in place. With more ice time in Kitchener and a world junior spot on the line, scouts are expecting Bailey to show a major leap in production next season.
Tall, athletic forward .. still must fill in and strengthen a wide, lanky frame .. an incongruent skater at this stage who can appear efficient and powerful at times - but also sloppy and wasteful .. can upgrade a sluggish first few steps by cleaning up his mechanics which have excessive movements which impairs quickness .. does attain a fast top speed once in motion however, and can blow by defenders outside exploiting his gears of acceleration .. gets let down by his puck control however, and must continue to refine choppy puckhandling skills .. best weapons are a stinging wristshot and snapshot that literally explode off the blade of his stick .. shows impressive accuracy on his snapshot - which features a dynamic release that handcuffs goalies .. brings sporadic physical involvement .. stops moving his feet at times - and can be timid about entering high-traffic areas .. did a better job of driving to the net in the second half .. just scratching the surface of his mostly untapped raw potential .. saw relegated duties late in the season and in the playoffs - scoring just one goal in his final 21 games including playoffs (21-1-5-6).
Bailey is a very raw prospect. This was his first OHL season and he went through some growing pains. But...he's got a very high ceiling, if the team that drafts him is willing to be patient. Bailey has size at 6'3, but is currently very lanky. He can be pushed off the puck too easily right now and needs to add strength to be a more effective player in traffic. But at his size, he's a terrific skater. He changes direction very well and has an extra gear. He's a bit of an awkward skater though, sort of wide strides similar to Wayne Simmonds when he played in the OHL. Offensively, his biggest weapon is his shot. He's got massive goal scoring potential at the next level. His snap and wrist shot are fantastic; both hard and accurate. But, I think there has to be some concern that he scored only 2 goals in his final 21 games (including playoffs). He looked gassed towards the end of the year, further proof that conditioning is an area of concern. The rest of his game is also a work in progress. For his size, he could stand to play more physical and engage in traffic more consistently. His two-way game is evolving and has potential because of his size and skating abilities. When he becomes the sum of his parts, Bailey could be a very good player and that's what has drawn the interest of scouts.
A highly intriguing prospect, Bailey has great size and a good base of skills that could land him in the second round of the draft. In his first season of junior hockey after competing for the Long Island Royals AAA program, Bailey handled the transition extremely well, putting up 36 points in 57 games. The former Michigan State commit had to shake off some early season injuries, but his game continually improved as the season went on. He has a long way to go in his development to reach his full potential, but the upside for him is really exciting. At 6-3, 186, he can add some strength and potential develop into a top-six style forward with good puck skills and an ability to get to the net.

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A/V Club

Draft-Day Interviews


2013.06.30 – Brian Duff interviews Justin Bailey after being selected 52nd overall. <1:46>

2013.06.30 – Justin Bailey meets with the media after being selected 52nd overall. <8:32>

2013.07.02 – Justin Bailey joins WGR's Howard Simon Show. <5:55>

Full Games (Log)

n/a

YouTube Clips




Bosswally 06-30-2013 06:07 PM

yes was hoping for this

krt88 06-30-2013 06:07 PM

lots of potential to this pick, love it. Big, skates well has good offensive game and I like playing in the OHL.

Woodhouse 06-30-2013 06:08 PM

NHL Central Scouting’s Chris Edwards:
Quote:

"He's a big guy, uses his size well. He's got a real good shot and he's able to get it off coming in off the wing.”
Hockey Hall of Famer Pat LaFontaine:
Quote:

"He's got tremendous quickness and speed to go along with that size. He'll continue to fill out as a player, but his puck control and release are something . . . he's got a big-time shot already."

JOHNBOY 06-30-2013 06:09 PM

Great pick!

Deevo 06-30-2013 06:09 PM

This could very well turn out to be the best of our 2nd round selections this year. Love this kid.

BloFan4Life 06-30-2013 06:10 PM

You kind of just knew it was happening.

Disengage 06-30-2013 06:10 PM

I single clapped and fist pumped when I heard them say Kitchener Rangers. Excited about this pick.

hizzoner 06-30-2013 06:12 PM

I will bet he thought he was going late first, very early second. This is a sound pick for the Sabre--I love it.

Rob Paxon 06-30-2013 06:13 PM

Many preferred Carrier. They may well be right in their preference, but I like the pick nonetheless. There's the trivial stuff: from Buffalo, father Carlton played for the Bills, coached by LaFontaine.

Here's what matters: He has natural goal scoring ability. He's a project but we had a definite need in our system for goal scoring, especially with Armia far along in his development.

Luceni 06-30-2013 06:16 PM

Love the pick. i'm a bit suprised that he was available at # 52

Chainshot 06-30-2013 06:17 PM

Bailey, very good value here. Release and size - pro style winger in the making.

sabresfan129103 06-30-2013 06:22 PM


Reddawg 06-30-2013 06:23 PM

First pick of this draft that I'm thrilled and excited about...totally happy.

Afino 06-30-2013 06:25 PM

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Gabrielor 06-30-2013 06:26 PM

Very happy with this pick. Would've taken him to 38, had him 43. Great news that he fell to 52.

indigoo 06-30-2013 06:27 PM

Great highlights posted, great pick. Love the hometown guy pick. Carrier would have been nice but I really don't mind this. I'm really happy with this draft.

Rhett4 06-30-2013 06:31 PM

This is the second round pick I like best...just because of the value at 52.

Rob Paxon 06-30-2013 06:38 PM

Who scores more NHL goals: Valeri Nichushkin or Justin Bailey?

Duddy 06-30-2013 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rob Paxon (Post 68357925)
Who scores more NHL goals: Valeri Nichushkin or Justin Bailey?

I'd love to say JB, but VN is probably the right answer.

MacOfNiagara 06-30-2013 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rob Paxon (Post 68357925)
Who scores more NHL goals: Valeri Nichushkin or Justin Bailey?

Nichushkin, but happy to have Bailey on the team.

tsujimoto74 06-30-2013 06:45 PM

Really like this pick. Hometown kid, big body, plays a pro style game.

Tachycineta 06-30-2013 07:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DYaeger89 (Post 68355463)
Very happy with this pick. Would've taken him to 38, had him 43. Great news that he fell to 52.

Same here. I also liked Bowey but given how we drafted earlier and that he's a hometown kid, made me more excited.

Chainshot 06-30-2013 07:11 PM

McKeen's #40:

Quote:

Worked through a pair of first-half injury setbacks (concussion,
sternum) to emerge in January and February (23-10-12-22, plus-17) .. tentative in the opening months as he struggled to recognize his time and space, but grew more comfortable with the league after the Christmas break .. passed on a commitment to Michigan State University to join the Rangers last summer, fresh off winning the national under-16 championship with the Long Island Royals, a team coached by former NHL star Pat LaFontaine .. emerged among the few bright spots at last summer’s Ivan Hlinka Memorial in a disappointing seventh-place finish for Team USA .. the Williamsville, New York native is the son of former National Football League linebacker Carlton Bailey .. SCOUTING REPORT .. tall, athletic forward .. still must fill in and strengthen a wide, lanky frame .. an incongruent skater at this stage who can appear efficient and powerful at times - but also sloppy and wasteful .. can upgrade a sluggish first few steps by cleaning up his mechanics which have excessive movements which impairs quickness .. does attain a fast top speed once in motion however, and can blow by
defenders outside exploiting his gears of acceleration .. gets let down by his puck control however, and must continue to refine choppy puckhandling skills .. best weapons are a stinging wristshot and snapshot that literally explode off the blade of his stick .. shows impressive accuracy on his snapshot - which features a dynamic release that handcuffs goalies .. brings sporadic physical involvement .. stops moving his feet at times - and can be timid about entering high-traffic areas .. did a better job of driving to the net in the second half .. just scratching the surface of his mostlyuntapped raw potential .. saw relegated duties late in the season and in the playoffs - scoring just one goal in his final 21 games
including playoffs (21-1-5-6).

Chainshot 06-30-2013 07:13 PM

Hockey Prospects.com, #74:
Quote:

Bailey, Justin – RC – Kitchener Rangers (OHL) – 6’3” 186
Justin was selected in the 7th round of the 2011 OHL Priority Selection Draft by the Kitchener Rangers out of the Buffalo Regals U16 program. Justin showed off his talents with the Long Island Royals of the AYHL last season scoring almost a goal per game and putting up 34 points in 22 games. Justin also got a brief two game experience with the Indiana Ice (USHL) scoring 1 goal. Justin more than doubled his games played when he joined the Kitchener Rangers this season and entered the league with tremendous hype and expectations. While he may not have quite lived up to the unfair and lofty expectations, Justin certainly had a very successful rookie season. Things started out slowly for Justin receiving ice primarily on the 4th line. He never really moved beyond the 3rd line this season due to the tremendous depth and veteran presence on the Rangers, but he worked well with his line mates providing some depth scoring down the stretch. Bailey’s work ethic improved and he battled for loose pucks and attempted to create turnovers. Justin likes to have the puck on his stick and is always looking for scoring opportunities in the offensive zone. He has shown some flashes of creativity with the puck. He works hard to be reliable in the defensive zone and is good at assisting his defenders down low and can play a full 200 feet. He has a tremendous shot that fools many goaltenders. His skating stride is fairly choppy and he has issues generating speed in his first few steps. While he is capable of reaching a good speed for a 6’3” forward, he needs to continue to work on his skating in the offseason. Although he’s a big kid, Bailey rarely gets involved in the physical aspect of the game, which may be a confidence issue at this point. He should look to add strength to his frame in the offseason in preparation for next year. Bailey will be looked upon to play a much larger role in the Rangers offensive plans next season as they graduate a number of key veterans.
Quotable: “I keep waiting to be blown away by this kid but I keep leaving the rink wanting more. He’s a 3rd rounder for me.” - NHL Scout
Quotable: “I spoke to Justin this year and I really like the kid. He was well spoken, gave thoughtful answers, and was realistic about where his game was at that point of the season. As for his game, it was hit and miss, he lacked consistency. I thought he was turning a corner at one point of the season but I thought that he continued to struggle to keep an upward trend in his progression. I think he is behind others when it comes to thinking the game. He seemed a step behind at times, especially when he played with some of Kitchener’s top forwards.” - Mark Edwards


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