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-   -   News Article: Odds The Oilers Make the Playoffs? (http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?t=1493985)

Slats432 09-05-2013 01:42 PM

Odds The Oilers Make the Playoffs?
 
http://www.cbssports.com/nhl/eye-on-...st-flames-last

Judging by this, the oddsmakers have the Oilers finishing 8th in the West and in the playoffs.

Hopefully they are right.

AlowlyOilersfan 09-05-2013 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slats432 (Post 70818355)
http://www.cbssports.com/nhl/eye-on-...st-flames-last

Judging by this, the oddsmakers have the Oilers finishing 8th in the West and in the playoffs.

Hopefully they are right.

CBS? Hockey?

Yeah, not too confident in their assessment.

SeriousBusiness 09-05-2013 01:53 PM

Nice to see projections of us in the playoffs, regardless of the source.

Moonlapse Vertigo 09-05-2013 01:53 PM

Bodog has us finishing with 89 points, which would obviously be just short of the playoffs.

djdub 09-05-2013 01:53 PM

Does the top 8 in a conference still always mean playoffs, after the realignment?

I haven't done any research, but with the new playoff format, it could be the top 7 plus 9, no?

The way I see it, unless one division is substantially weaker than the other it will always be the top 8 teams. For it not to be the top 8, wouldn't a team that is top 3 in the weak division have to have less points than the 2nd wild card team from the division sending 5 teams?

Is that possible?

dem 09-05-2013 01:56 PM

I'm certainly not that confident..

But if I know one thing.. its that Vegas is right far more often than I am! :cry:

GreatKeith 09-05-2013 02:18 PM

I picked up an NHL magazine the other day and it predicted the oilers finishing 2nd.

In the conference.

They had Florida finishing 16th so they weren't totally high, but...

Cloned 09-05-2013 02:29 PM

Honestly this is probably the hardest year to predict where the Oilers are going to finish. This is very likely going to be that "transition" year (that should have been last year if Tambo was competent, but whatever) when the kids' development combined with sufficient veteran balance may boost this team up the standings in a big way. It may also fall apart and the team could finish in the cellar again. Hard to say.

Beerfish 09-05-2013 02:40 PM

If the Oilers at worst are not in a battle right to the end of the season for a spot it will be a monumentally disastrous year.

The Big Unit 09-05-2013 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by djdub (Post 70818769)
Does the top 8 in a conference still always mean playoffs, after the realignment?

I haven't done any research, but with the new playoff format, it could be the top 7 plus 9, no?

The way I see it, unless one division is substantially weaker than the other it will always be the top 8 teams. For it not to be the top 8, wouldn't a team that is top 3 in the weak division have to have less points than the 2nd wild card team from the division sending 5 teams?

Is that possible?

No the way it's set up now the top 3 in the Pacific make it and the top 3 in the Central make it and then it's the next best two teams regardless of division. So you can potentially have the Oilers finishing 5th in the Pacific division and as long as they finished higher than the 4th team in the Central they would cross over and end up playing the Central division winner and be part of the Central bracket for the first two rounds. I hope that makes sense lol

djdub 09-05-2013 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Big Unit (Post 70820295)
No the way it's set up now the top 3 in the Pacific make it and the top 3 in the Central make it and then it's the next best two teams regardless of division. So you can potentially have the Oilers finishing 5th in the Pacific division and as long as they finished higher than the 4th team in the Central they would cross over and end up playing the Central division winner and be part of the Central bracket for the first two rounds. I hope that makes sense lol

It does make sense but the OP said "Article has Oilers finishing top 8 in West, making playoffs"

I was just curious, with the way the divisions and playoff format is setup, will it always end up being the top 8 between the Pacific and Central (aka West)? Or is it possible for the Pacific to have 6 teams with higher records than the top 3 in the Central, which in theory would have a team making the playoffs with the 9th best record in the west. Which after thinking about it again, yes it is probably possible, but very unlikely to happen. So I answered my own question.

Thanks!

MoneyGuy 09-05-2013 03:23 PM

I still give the Oilers about a 30-40% chance at making the playoffs this year. If I'm right, this will be the fourth year running I'll be taking money off of my Oilers fan(atic). I want them to succeed, but am not above taking money from idiots. (He doesn't read online stuff so I can say that.)

okgooil 09-05-2013 03:24 PM

I think that is pretty bang on. I think this year will be ok if we compete for or just make the playoffs. A huge success if we finish well in the playoffs and a failure if we don't even compete for the playoffs.

Slatsmsg 09-05-2013 03:37 PM

I think the team (MacT) has done enough to make playoffs a real possibility on paper. There are a lot of other factors that need to be there for it to happen though.

Our 3rd and 4th lines have to be solid and contribute from time to time
Our 4-6 defence has to be significantly better than last year
Goaltending needs to play well when the team in front of them is playing well
Our scorers need to score and stay healthy

Other teams in the conference (at least 6) need to fail at least 3 out of 4 of the above.

Aerchon 09-05-2013 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Beerfish (Post 70820255)
If the Oilers at worst are not in a battle right to the end of the season for a spot it will be a monumentally disastrous year.

Agreed. 4 points out of a playoff spot is the absolute worst I could consider this team doing without some kind of massive #$%^ up by the coaching/management/injuries.

nexttothemoon 09-05-2013 04:01 PM

I'd agree that 30-40% chance of playoffs is about right. Personally I don't see enough improvement in the roster yet to say they are 50-50% to make the playoffs and in the end I think all the question marks on the team tip the balance towards yet another playoff miss.

If I had to bet money I'd wager they don't make it and finish 11th in the West. Love them to prove me wrong though.

Mr Forever 09-05-2013 04:03 PM

Not with that bottom 6 they aren't.

Stoneman89 09-05-2013 04:14 PM

They take a big step up this year......and finish 10th.

armandh01 09-05-2013 04:14 PM

Honestly we would have competed closer to the bitter end if we didn't have such awful coaching last season, not including being snake bitten and Ryan Whitney. So with a combination of:

Better coaching (can't be worse)
Better top 6 and more developed
Most likely a slightly better bottom 6 (at worst)
No Whitney
Better D


I am confident we will be in the 9 - 5 range.

thadd 09-05-2013 04:30 PM

That would have us playing Chicago. We would probably lose, but we'd lose looking good Think we'd win 2 games. Would be very freakin happy.

hallsyoilerforever 09-05-2013 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thadd (Post 70824029)
That would have us playing Chicago. We would probably lose, but we'd lose looking good Think we'd win 2 games. Would be very freakin happy.

They always tend to play extremely well against the hawks anyways.

shogun99 09-05-2013 07:38 PM

Since 8 out of 14 teams make the playoffs in the west. Our chances are 57% to make the playoffs.

MoneyGuy 09-05-2013 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shogun99 (Post 70830521)
Since 8 out of 14 teams make the playoffs in the west. Our chances are 57% to make the playoffs.

:shakehead That makes no sense. Maybe you're kidding.

Roof Daddy 09-05-2013 08:12 PM

Is it just me or are they really off on their Winnipeg prediction? Might have to visit bodog and put some money on the over. Better travel schedule and playing in the weakest division, I have them at 90 points.

BFDBFD 09-05-2013 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shogun99 (Post 70830521)
Since 8 out of 14 teams make the playoffs in the west. Our chances are 57% to make the playoffs.

Oooohhh! That's how it works! So I guess we don't need a regular season at all. Let's just have the playoff lottery right now :sarcasm:


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