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Irish Blues 11-17-2003 04:54 AM

IB's Rankings - 11/17
 
I know Degroat put his rankings out as well, but I had mine put together last night. You can compare and see where we're different. (For the record, I don't know exactly how he puts together his rankings - I included each team's SOS for reference this week.)

a) OTL’s are counted as a loss, so any points gained via an OTL are not counted when determining each team’s ranking.
b) Last week’s ranking in parenthesis. Actual division leaders are in bold.
c) I’ve now included a number by which everyone can compare teams. The number after the team’s record (sort of, but not quite) refers to the number of times the team would be expected to win vs. a team that is .500 in 100 games, given their performance to date. It does not factor in goal differential. (I’m currently working on this, but have no timetable for it.)

1. (1) New Jersey (9-3-4) 71.57 strength of schedule: 115-104-49, .5205 – 6th
2. (7) Philadelphia (10-3-3) 67.43 strength of schedule: 106-123-46, .4691 – 28th
3. (4) St. Louis (11-5-0) 65.26 strength of schedule: 115-129-32, .4746 – 25th
4. (3) Vancouver (10-5-2) 65.16 strength of schedule: 127-125-36, .5035 – 12th
5. (5) Boston (9-4-3) 64.66 strength of schedule: 114-118-40, .4926 – 18th
6. (2) Tampa Bay (9-3-2) 63.33 strength of schedule: 83-110-45, .4433 – 30th
7. (6) Colorado (10-6-1) 60.28 strength of schedule: 119-126-47, .4880 – 20th
8. (9) Los Angeles (8-7-1) 54.90 strength of schedule: 118-109-43, .5167 – 8th
9. (17) Detroit (9-7-2) 53.74 strength of schedule: 132-142-32, .4837 – 22nd
10. (8) NY Islanders (8-6-2) 53.19 strength of schedule: 112-127-37, .4728 – 26th
11. (15) Edmonton (8-7-2) 52.94 strength of schedule: 127-127-33, .5000 – tie, 13th
12. (10) Toronto (7-6-5) 50.36 strength of schedule: 122-136-48, .4771 – 24th
13. (19) Ottawa (7-6-2) 50.08 strength of schedule: 107-123-32, .4695 – 27th
14. (11) Buffalo (7-8-2) 48.85 strength of schedule: 132-121-36, .5190 – 7th
15. (16) Montreal (8-9-1) 48.18 strength of schedule: 129-123-45, .5101 – 10th
16. (24) Nashville (7-8-1) 47.71 strength of schedule: 129-124-27, .5089 – 11th
17. (14) Minnesota (7-8-3) 47.22 strength of schedule: 137-137-36, .5000 – tie, 13th
18. (13) Carolina (5-6-5) 46.70 strength of schedule: 112-113-44, .4981 – 15th
19. (22) Phoenix (5-7-5) 46.08 strength of schedule: 135-122-36, .5222 – 4th
20. (12) Atlanta (8-8-3) 45.81 strength of schedule: 123-150-49, .4581 – 29th
21. (23) Florida (7-10-2) 44.37 strength of schedule: 128-112-58, .5268 – 3rd
22. (20) Dallas (7-9-2) 43.13 strength of schedule: 129-138-37, .4852 – 21st
23. (18) Chicago (7-9-3) 42.94 strength of schedule: 137-150-37, .4799 – 23rd
24. (29) Anaheim (7-10-1) 41.39 strength of schedule: 126-128-51, .4967 – 16th
25. (21) NY Rangers (6-9-2) 40.48 strength of schedule: 121-126-47, .4915 – 19th
26. (26) San Jose (3-8-7) 37.66 strength of schedule: 136-123-45, .5214 – 5th
27. (27) Calgary (6-10-0) 37.09 strength of schedule: 119-122-36, .4946 – 17th
28. (28) Pittsburgh (4-9-3) 36.66 strength of schedule: 124-106-41, .5332 – 1st
29. (25) Columbus (5-10-2) 36.03 strength of schedule: 130-124-35, .5104 – 9th
30. (30) Washington (4-12-1) 28.13 strength of schedule: 129-111-47, .5314 – 2nd

Eastern Winning Percentage: 108-102-40 (.5120)
Western Winning Percentage: 110-116-32 (.4880)

NOTES:
1. Philadelphia has the best winning percentage to date (.7188), followed by Tampa Bay (.7143) and New Jersey and St. Louis (.6875 each)
2. NY Rangers has the hardest remaining schedule (.5265), Los Angeles has the easiest (.4746). Of the Eastern Conference teams, only two (Philadelphia – 18th overall, .4969, New Jersey – 21st overall, .4946) have remaining schedule strengths under .500, while Columbus and Calgary have the hardest remaining schedules in the West.

Irish Blues 11-17-2003 04:57 AM

I'll try to work on the formatting for next week.

Note about the number provided: As I said, it's roughly an estimate of the number of games the given team would be expected to win vs. a .500 team in 100 games. It's not exactly correct, but that's not the important thing - even after I get this adjusted to be more correct (hopefully for next week), each team's score in relation to teams around them will still be about as close (or closer) and would NOT change any rankings after adjustment. It's mostly a reference tool for those who want to know how close Team A is to Team B.


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