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hpNYR 08-23-2011 10:31 PM

OT: Hurricane Irene
 
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Hopefully the mods allow this thread to stay. Hurricane Irene has shifted her focus on to the mid Atlantic and north east states.It's no longer a threat to Florida.

Latest guidance is converging into a landfall right over LI just east of JFK while still a hurricane sustaining 74mph winds. Still is 5 days out but there is great concern if this were to come to fruition. If todays runs came to reality this would be a disaster for the 5 boros and all of LI.

Couple the amount of rain we have gotten of late and how the ground is saturated..we should anticipate record flooding w/ plenty of downed trees.

Just a heads up..something to follow/keep an eye on for the weekend.

Latest track from the NHC :

FultonReed 08-23-2011 10:34 PM

the weather guy is back =]

i'll be watching this all week.

Machinehead 08-23-2011 10:39 PM

I'm not afraid of you! :box:

Ih8theislanders 08-23-2011 10:41 PM

Gotta drive from Virginia to NY tomorrow. Leaving at around 12, am I going to be caught in this?

Machinehead 08-23-2011 10:43 PM

In all seriousness, only a fool would challenge nature. I love it though, it's so exciting. I'm pissed that I missed the earthquake. I mean you enjoy it but at the same time you hope the damage is limited. Kinda like watching the Knicks :laugh:

Let's hope it fizzles a little so it can put on a small show while not doing any real damage. That's a perfect storm.

hpNYR 08-23-2011 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ih8theislanders (Post 36158437)
Gotta drive from Virginia to NY tomorrow. Leaving at around 12, am I going to be caught in this?

It affects the VA region Saturday. Look at the map.

17futurecap 08-23-2011 10:46 PM

Hp your posts on the snowstorms are awesome during the winter, looking forward to following your posts this week, cheers!

Bird Law 08-23-2011 10:48 PM

Surfers are grateful in NJ, I'm sure.

Machinehead 08-23-2011 10:50 PM

Anyone remember that small tornado we had last year? It was about a mile and half from me. I remember walking through the streets with all these trees around me totally in awe of the power. There was nothing like it. I hope that doesn't happen with the hurricane though. Once is enough :phew:

hpNYR 08-23-2011 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 17futurecap (Post 36158579)
Hp your posts on the snowstorms are awesome during the winter, looking forward to following your posts this week, cheers!

Thanks bud :handclap:

The 00Z rgem (canadian) which is typically not good in Hurricane season, has come in further west of the other runs.

hpNYR 08-23-2011 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jonathan. (Post 36158609)
Surfers are grateful in NJ, I'm sure.

I'll be in Wildwood Crest, NJ on the 1st...should be great as the storm pulls away.

Bob Richards 08-23-2011 10:55 PM

Considering my job is entirely dependent on weather, I guess I'm done for the year. :cry:

hpNYR 08-23-2011 10:59 PM

Here are some analogs of similar systems w/ similar tracks via guidance:

TS DORIA:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...ORIA/track.gif


HURRICANE GLORIA:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...ORIA/track.gif


HURRICANE FLOYD:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...LOYD/track.gif

just to name a few...

However, Most of these did weaken considerably in terms of winds by the time they got to the area

Muh 08-23-2011 11:12 PM

Floyd was pretty intense where I live, Rockland County. I was 13 then and loved it, whole town flooded, was really something to see. 12 years later, I have now bought a house in the same town and my back yard and basement has some flooding problems due to the river and low foundation. I am gonna have some problems come Monday...Damn.

KreiMeARiver 08-23-2011 11:14 PM

Hurricane Party!!!!!!!!!!

Screw You Rick Nash 08-23-2011 11:29 PM

So if we actually get hit, exactly how bad can it get?

hpNYR 08-23-2011 11:39 PM

http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/upload/9/windband.gif
http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/images/legend.gif

Screw You Rick Nash 08-23-2011 11:41 PM

Sorry I'm no expert, but I literally have no idea what that means, besides the fact that we can get hit. Care to explain please?

1Knee1T 08-23-2011 11:42 PM

I live on LI.


Giacomin 08-23-2011 11:54 PM

As somebody in Law Enforcement I remember working during Hurricane Gloria in 1985 and it was not fun. I believe it was only a category 2 at worst and Suffolk County was without power from 5-10 days.

CHGoalie27 08-24-2011 12:03 AM

If I can take it, you can!
http://timothyfizzell.theworldrace.o...ell/lt.dan.jpg

Muh 08-24-2011 12:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kaneone (Post 36159661)
Sorry I'm no expert, but I literally have no idea what that means, besides the fact that we can get hit. Care to explain please?

My opinion, dont expect a hurricane. But we will most likely get hit with heavy rains for an extended period with potential of some strong winds. Cant speak for all areas, but there will be flooding if this storms follows in its projected path.

Rangers1135 08-24-2011 12:15 AM

Will Nassau County be affected by this?

Brooklyn Ranger 08-24-2011 12:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chris6net (Post 36159929)
As somebody in Law Enforcement I remember working during Hurricane Gloria in 1985 and it was not fun. I believe it was only a category 2 at worst and Suffolk County was without power from 5-10 days.

I missed hurricane Gloria--was living in Sweden at the time and by the time it made it to Stockholm all it brought was fantastic weather. From what I remember, because the ocean is not as warm here as down south, it's very unlikely that this area can get a hurricane much higher than a category 3--but that would be bad enough (pretty sure the huge hurricane that smacked LI and New England back in 1938 was "only" a category 3).

It's not something I'm looking forward to.

Brooklyn Ranger 08-24-2011 12:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rangers1135 (Post 36160289)
Will Nassau County be affected by this?

If it tracks the way the op says, yes, indeed, Nassau county will be in the crosshairs.


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