Is montreal a bonafide stanley cup contender? #2
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03-17-2004, 05:06 PM
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Ottawa (Go 'Nucks)
Originally Posted by
Having said that, it's probably an overstatment to say each team has a 1/16 shot at the cup. I would bet that a review of past playoffs would show that, statistically, the lower seeds are less likely to get the hardware for a variety of reasons, including the lack of home ice advantage.
As I've pointed out repeatedly, the Cup winner *always* has one of the best 7 records in the league. 16 teams may get in, but the real odds are 1 in 7. It really should be top 6, except twice in 35 years or so we've had 7th place teams get incredible breaks in the scheduling, and get three or four easy rounds. And with the current playoff system, that can't happen any more.
Yeah, it's *possible* for a low seed to win, but it just hasn't happened in the history of the league. I believe the playoff system is just too long for a hot streak to last. Eventually, the better talent will win out.
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