RYDER: Leading Rookie Candidate!!!
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03-18-2004, 08:51 PM
Join Date: Jul 2003
Originally Posted by
I'll have to go with Raycroft as well.
Raycroft has great stats and is extremely important to his team. Ryder's stats are pretty good, but not spectacular, and while he's a big pice of the Habs pie, I don't think he's had the impact that Raycroft has had with the B's.
But Ryder definately deserves 2nd.
Let's try this then: compare them against their peers. I've run the stats, and as it turns out there are 45 "regular" goalies, and almost 700 "regular" players (898 total with atleast 1 game). Now, if you take Ryder, he ranks 32nd of 700 in points (top 5%), 46th in goals (top 7%), 30th in assists (top 4.3%), and 174th in +/- (top 25%) of all regular players. Even if you exclude defensemen, he stays in the top 10% of all comparable players.
Next is Raycroft: 6th of 45 in GAA (top 13%), 4th in save pct (top 9%), 10th in wins (top 22%), and 18th in shutouts (top 40%).
As you can see, Ryder is in the higher percentile of comparable players than raycroft is. Remember that this is a goalie favoured league (as explored above on this board), and people who rank highly in scoring must be doing a great job. So, up to now I would argue that Ryder deserves the award. Remember, this isn't team MVP voting, this is top rookie PERIOD voting. So RAYCROFT definitely deserves 2nd.
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