Evaluation of 1999 draft (series)
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06-05-2004, 03:34 AM
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Ottawa (Go 'Nucks)
Interesting articles, very well done folks.
The Isles have four 1st rounders, a 3rd, a 4th, a 5th, and an 8th rounder. 8 of 14 (57%) played 1115 games.
The Ducks have a 2nd, a 3rd, and an 8th rounder. 3 of 7 (43%) played 563 games.
All those first rounders makes this hard to judge who drafted better. Getting 8 players in a draft is pretty amazing, but with 4 first rounders, it's less so.
It strikes me that games played per pick isn't the greatest indicator of a strong draft. The expectations of a 1st round pick are different than an 8th rounder. If I get 80 games from an 8th rounder, you get 80 from a first rounder, I think I've drafted better. But then there's the bust factor, if I had a 1st rounder as well and got 0 GP from him, and you also had an 8th that got 0 GP, then clearly of those two, you drafted better. A bust of an 8th rounder is expected, a bust first rounder is a disaster.
Some sort of multiplication factor recognising the round drafted and the games played would seem a good route to pursue.
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