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09-14-2008, 07:49 AM
  #74
It Kills Me
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Paradox View Post
You aren't dumb. Only your reasoning on this particular point was dumb. You're using seasons Marleau had 8 or 9 years ago as a basis for what to expect out of him next year. Joe Thornton has 756 points in 754 games. Does that mean he's probably going to get around 82 next season? I don't think so. Olli Jokinen has averaged 52 points per 82 games. This is the fallacy of career averages, many players improve significantly in their mid to late 20s, plus the post lockout rules increased scoring by a lot. If you think 55 points is "average" for Marleau you're way off base.
That's why I said it was Marleau's career average.

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