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03-06-2009, 04:36 PM
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Originally Posted by Alex28 View Post
A typical 10-15 pick is expected to be a guy who makes the team in the 2nd year of his contract, starts producing for the 2nd and 3rd year, then gets resigned to a relative bargain (compared to his ability) due to RFA status. All the while he keeps developing and improving. Think Bryan Little or someone like Semin. Of course, if Ottawa or Tampa somehow climbs into that region and decides they're absolutely aching for a puck mover, it's possible. Still unlikely, however.

Yeah, a team would have to be extremely, unbelieveably desperate for puck moving defenseman to take 2 years of Kaberle @ 4 million over that. Even if he plays like he's worth 5 million, which I'm not convinced of any more.
Little and Semin aren't even close to being average 10-15 picks. They'd be pretty much the absolute best you can hope for. Look on TSN for Scott Cullen's breakdown of what you can expect out of a pick in that range.

Edit: This is the breakdown. His average was 4.58, which is right in between an NHL regular and a fringe player.

Last edited by grabo84: 03-06-2009 at 04:45 PM.
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