Is there an equivalent of a "Moneyball" for the NHL?
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04-11-2009, 07:47 AM
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: St-Augustin, Québec
Originally Posted by
My all-time favorite blogger/writer, Tom Benjamin, had a great discussion on this a couple of years ago. If you search through his blog for Poisson, you can find some other posts on the topic of statistical validity in a game that's generally governed by randomness; and even a discussion on the "clutch" factor. Here's an excerpt:
Make sure you read the reader comments as his mathematician friend responds to some reader queries and ideas.
(There's also a gaggle of Oilers bloggers who routinely dive into this stuff.
, a huge fan of sabremetrics if I recall is one, and Irreverent Oil Fans @
I hope this piques the interest of BOHB moderator Fourier....
thanks for that!
like he says, it's hard for a hockey fan to accept some of the twists that maths and stats theory tells you to do, to often we're tempted to lie your observations in a proclus bed where you'd like to fit your data in a preconceived idea. It's much harder than doing regular maths where you simply don't care whether or not the sum of interior angles of a triangle are 180 degress, it could be 200 and you couldn't care less.
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