Thread: A thought
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09-17-2004, 06:03 PM
  #8
Tom_Benjamin
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DownFromNJ
Why not just walk into the negociating room as if it was January or next September? I don't know much about union negociations, but why is a lockout neccessary?
I don't think a work stoppage is necessary, but it is not hard to see why the parties expect to be out to January.

Because the different sides have different pressure points. Right now the NHL is at the peak leverage. The players start losing millions next month. By January, they will have punted away about $700 million. The owners lose revenues, but the beginning of the season is the least profitable time of the year. Interest and attendance is lowest now and highest as the playoffs approach.

By January, the pressure shifts. The second half of the season is when all the profits are made. Once the season is cancelled, it shifts again, but with wild cards like new leagues, court fights, imposed systems, strike rather than lockout and possible decertification of the union.

Tom

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