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04-21-2009, 10:52 PM
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Doctor No
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2008-09 NHL Goals Above Replacement for Goalies

This is a little statistic I calculate each season - it's basically a linear transformation of save percentage (so if you don't like save percentage, you won't like this either, and I'm not going to argue with you about it here ).

The statistics presented:
GD (Goal Differential) - how many goals better (or worse) a netminder is than a league-average NHL goaltender facing the same number of shots.

GARG (Goals Above Replacement Goaltender) - how many goals better (or worse) a netminder is than a replacement-level NHL goaltender facing the same number of shots. I define "replacement level" to be a save percentage 0.015 below league average (this is a bit of a SWAG). Replacement level goaltenders are plentiful and easily available.

SNW/SNL (Support-Neutral Wins and Losses) - if the goaltender had received "average" goal support, how many wins and losses would he have.

I sort this table by GARG, because there's a definite value in playing at a "league average" level for a decent period of time.

Links to the past three years of results here:
http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=253883
http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=381137
http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=507945

Note that I changed the methodology slightly as of 2007-08.

Not responsible for typos, although I'd love to have them pointed out.

2008-09 NHL GOALTENDERS:
NAME
GD
GARGSNWL
Thomas Tim
41.45
66.86
35-19
Backstrom Niklas
29.61
60.50
40-29
Vokoun Tomas
32.08
59.92
33-22
Lundqvist Henrik
15.47
45.57
38-32
Miller Ryan
17.12
43.71
32-26
Ward Cam
13.73
42.25
36-31
Roloson Dwayne
12.45
41.75
33-28
Luongo Roberto
16.99
40.12
30-23
Biron Martin
10.95
36.72
28-25
Mason Steve
11.48
36.35
32-28
Mason Chris
12.07
35.23
30-25
Fleury Marc-Andre
6.90
34.65
31-29
Rinne Pekka
12.12
33.64
26-22
Khabibulin Nikolai
12.93
30.81
23-17
Hiller Jonas
12.20
30.45
22-17
Anderson Craig
15.31
29.97
16-11
Smith Mike
9.08
28.31
22-19
Clemmensen Scott
9.95
27.02
21-18
Nabokov Evgeni
1.71
26.66
31-30
Lehtonen Kari
2.68
25.15
22-22
Bryzgalov Ilya
-5.28
24.63
31-32
Quick Jonathan
6.55
24.55
22-19
Halak Jaroslav
6.32
22.48
18-15
Auld Alex
3.11
20.23
21-20
Kiprusoff Miikka
-12.82
19.50
35-39
Brodeur Martin
6.43
19.48
17-14
Niittymaki Antero
3.42
17.62
15-14
Price Carey
-5.11
17.59
24-25
Huet Cristobal
0.14
16.45
20-19
Harding Josh
9.37
16.17
8-5
Conklin Ty
0.22
15.71
19-19
Gerber Martin
2.00
15.15
13-12
Danis Yann
1.11
15.10
15-15
Tellqvist Mikael
5.92
14.62
9-7
Fernandez Manny
1.16
13.02
14-13
Boucher Brian
4.38
12.83
11-10
LaBarbera Jason
0.58
11.69
12-12
MacDonald Joey
-12.80
10.96
21-25
Weekes Kevin
4.42
10.40
7-5
Theodore Jose
-13.92
9.66
25-29
Johnson Brent
-0.19
8.49
10-10
Budaj Peter
-14.67
8.30
24-30
Giguere Jean-Sebastien
-10.99
8.12
20-23
Turco Marty
-21.81
8.08
33-41
Elliott Brian
-5.37
6.42
13-14
Ellis Dan
-8.28
6.17
15-19
Garon Mathieu
-2.39
5.93
8-9
Valiquette Stephen
-0.61
5.71
6-6
Sanford Curtis
-1.15
5.57
7-8
LaCosta Dan
3.30
4.50
2-0
Ersberg Erik
-5.67
4.09
11-13
Lalime Patrick
-6.04
4.00
10-11
Varlamov Simeon
1.51
3.89
3-2
Leighton Michael
-3.78
3.82
7-8
Montoya Al
1.95
3.75
2-2
Rask Tuukka
3.19
3.72
1-0
Sabourin Dany
-4.80
2.14
7-9
Drouin-Deslauriers Jeff
-2.47
2.06
3-4
Curry John
0.29
1.33
2-1
Kolzig Olaf
-2.66
1.01
3-4
Schwarz Marek
0.46
0.53
0-0
Holt Chris
0.27
0.32
0-0
Helenius Riku
0.18
0.21
0-0
Ramo Karri
-11.16
0.18
9-12
Climie Matt
-1.25
0.03
1-2
Bishop Ben
-1.79
-0.11
1-2
Neuvirth Michal
-1.70
-0.17
1-2
DiPietro Rick
-2.33
-0.24
2-2
Denis Marc
-0.36
-0.26
0-0
Mannino Peter
-2.07
-0.76
1-1
Howard Jimmy
-1.45
-1.03
0-1
McElhinney Curtis
-5.48
-1.28
3-5
Raycroft Andrew
-13.91
-1.37
12-16
Tordjman Josh
-2.35
-1.42
1-1
Niemi Antti
-2.62
-1.74
1-2
Dubielewicz Wade
-2.98
-1.83
1-2
Krahn Brent
-2.18
-2.04
0-0
Schneider Cory
-5.24
-2.81
2-5
Norrena Fredrik
-4.88
-2.88
2-4
McKenna Mike
-9.02
-2.93
5-8
Pavelec Ondrej
-8.58
-4.07
4-6
Stephan Tobias
-8.05
-4.93
2-3
Toskala Vesa
-28.12
-5.35
20-30
Legace Manny
-16.13
-6.09
9-15
Hedberg Johan
-20.44
-7.31
11-17
Leclaire Pascal
-13.51
-8.65
4-7
Pogge Justin
-11.25
-8.65
2-4
Osgood Chris
-27.27
-9.15
17-26
Joseph Curtis
-15.15
-9.40
5-10

TOP 25 GOALS ABOVE REPLACEMENT GOALTENDER (since 1982-83):
NAMESEASONGARG
Joseph Curtis1992-93
92.73
Hasek Dominik1996-97
89.01
Hasek Dominik1997-98
88.82
Luongo Roberto2003-04
86.42
Vanbiesbrouck John1993-94
86.06
Hasek Dominik1998-99
83.94
Hasek Dominik1993-94
78.50
Lindbergh Pelle1984-85
77.77
Theodore Jose2001-02
76.87
Roy Patrick1991-92
75.70
Belfour Ed1990-91
75.25
Roy Patrick1993-94
75.03
Hasek Dominik1995-96
74.85
Joseph Curtis1991-92
74.34
Joseph Curtis1993-94
74.17
Hextall Ron1986-87
72.23
Kiprusoff Miikka2005-06
72.03
Luongo Roberto2005-06
71.11
Roy Patrick1989-90
71.02
Brodeur Martin2006-07
69.90
Hrudey Kelly1985-86
69.14
Belfour Ed1992-93
68.94
Luongo Roberto2006-07
68.42
Thomas Tim2008-09
66.86
Vokoun Tomas2005-06
66.64

TOP 25 GOAL DIFFERENTIALS (since 1982-83):
NAMESEASONGD
Joseph Curtis1992-93
59.70
Vanbiesbrouck John1993-94
57.38
Hasek Dominik1997-98
56.58
Hasek Dominik1996-97
56.35
Hasek Dominik1998-99
55.78
Hasek Dominik1993-94
55.22
Luongo Roberto2003-04
49.29
Lindbergh Pelle1984-85
48.83
Roy Patrick1991-92
48.61
Roy Patrick1989-90
48.16
Hrudey Kelly1985-86
47.32
Theodore Jose2001-02
47.29
Belfour Ed1990-91
47.00
Roy Patrick1993-94
45.69
Joseph Curtis1991-92
45.05
Froese Bob1985-86
44.82
Hasek Dominik1995-96
44.69
Hextall Ron1986-87
43.23
Peeters Pete1982-83
43.02
Kiprusoff Miikka2005-06
42.76
Melanson Rollie1982-83
41.53
Thomas Tim2008-09
41.45
Belfour Ed1992-93
40.74
Joseph Curtis1993-94
38.44
Hasek Dominik1994-95
37.69

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Last edited by Trebek: 04-22-2009 at 12:40 PM.
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