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06-15-2009, 12:36 PM
  #297
Chainshot
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zip15 View Post
Based on a lot of the mocks I've seen, it looks like Kreider is going in the late-teens at the earliest, and more often in the early-to-mid 20's. If they truly coveted him, shouldn't the team be looking to trade down for more picks, too?
Mocks are usually a concensus of other outside factors. Every year, someone goes "off the board" (or at least off what the "experts" have created as their board) with a pick. If you speak to different scouts, it happens regularly that they have lists that look nothing like what you see here or with scouting publications. Think of this -- Peter Forsberg was deemed a reach by members of the press covering the '91 draft in Buffalo. THN had him in the second round and Philly took him 7th overall. Looking back, it is arguable that he was the best player in that draft (or if not then, certainly second best). Philly saw something in him and it paid off. Phoenix was roundly drubbed for taking Blake Wheeler #5 when he was a consensus mid-20's pick. After watching his rookie year, they may have been bang on. Derek Morris was another -- CSB had him at something like 48th overall among NA skaters and he went top 15 and is one of the best players out of his draft year. Guys rise, guys fall.

If they can slip down a few and still land someone they covet, great. If not, then get the best player they can, based on how they've scouted the kids, at the position they are in.

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