View Single Post
Old
07-04-2009, 07:15 PM
  #36
MathMan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 17,255
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by SergeiKostitsyn74 View Post
Arguably? No, that's not even a question. Cammalleri, Gionta, A.Kostitsyn and Plekanec are all better than him, 5-on-5 or not.
Really now?

Code:
                    ESG/GP        ESG/60 (goals by icetime)
                 07-08  08-09    07-08    08-09
Latendresse      14/73  13/56    0.92     1.08 
Kostitsyn        14/78  17/74    0.88     1.03
Cammalleri        9/63  20/81    0.62     1.08
Gionta           13/81  14/82    0.59     0.79
Plekanec         15/81  11/80    0.90     0.63
Kovalev          18/82  14/78    0.94     0.83
Let's look at these numbers.

Last year, the only player who scored more goals at even-strength given his icetime was Alex Tanguay. The only two players to score more ESGs total were Kovalev and AKost -- Kovy isn't here and AKost had more games, more icetime, and better offensive linemates.

(That 17 ESGs in 08-09 along with the scoring rate really puts AKost's "bad" season in a different light, too. He actually improved as a 5-on-5 sniper. By way of comparison, Simon Gagne had 18.)

The year before, Lats tied AKost and was one ESG behind Plekanec. Again, Lats did so playing fewer games, less icetime, and worse offensive linemates. His scoring rate was higher than both AKost and Pleky, though all three were close to each other.

That leaves the new guys. Cammy scored 20 ESG last season, 6 more than Lats, but he had more icetime and better linemates (Iginla anyone?). His goal-scoring rate per 60 minutes was actually exactly the same (1.08, which is pretty high). The year before, Cammy had only nine even-strength goals, in 63 games -- more than it took Lats to pot 14 this year. His goal-scoring rate per icetime was barely above half of this year's. That was probably a fluke down season, really, as he has potted 18 ESGs the year before -- still, it was a year in which a rookie Guillaume Latendresse scored 11.

Finally Gionta. ESGs over the last two seasons: 13 and 14, sensibly the same as Lats but with more games and more icetime. His goal-scoring rates were thus corrensponding lower.

Lats has been a healthy scratch, has been played with pluggers most of the time, and still managed to be a team leader for even-strength goals over the last three years. If there is one thing the kid is good at, it's this. It really makes you wonder what Carbo was thinking by benching him and asking him to change his style of play.

In my opinion, the three best even-strength goal-scorers on the team are Cammalleri, Latendresse, and Andrei Kostitsyn, with Andrei and Lats being roughly even. So saying Lats is arguably the team's second-best ES goal-scorer certainly has support.

Power play wise it's a whole different ball game -- Lats has never been able to make it work there. Of course, he hasn't had a whole lot of chances either. This is where Cammalleri comes in.

MathMan is offline   Reply With Quote