Ilya Kovalchuk (Rumor Update: 01/02/10) Post #432
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12-14-2009, 05:08 PM
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Land of no calls..
Originally Posted by
The Thrashers got 4 talented young players for Hossa (Christensen was a promising player at the time) so I would imagine they should get at least the same if not better quality for a Kovalchuk trade.
If you want to analyse the Hossa deal in detail for New York's perspective it breaks down like this. Atlanta received 2 young roster players, a top prospect and a first round pick. The cap hits were low, so again they won't be interested in taking back any high salaries.
Looking at the players involved in detail:
Player Received: Colby Armstrong
Then: Gritty 3rd line winger with 20 goal potential.
NYR Player Comparison: Ryan Callahan
Fits with Atlanta's needs: Yes, Armstrong is an UFA and may jump ship at the end of the season. Callahan would be a good replacement.
Player Received: Erik Christensen
Then: Point per game AHLer, showed glimpses of 2nd line potential playing limited minutes on Pittsburgh's 3rd line.
NYR Player Comparison: Artem Anisimov
Fits with Atlanta's needs: No. Atlanta is strong at center with Antropov, Peverley, White and Reasoner. Anismov is no doubt talented but wouldn't get a game ahead of Atlanta four centers at the moment. Atlanta needs a player that can contribute straight away and its current biggest need is a shut down d-man. Replace Anisimov with Staal.
Player Received: Angelo Esposito
Then: Pittsburgh highest ranked forward prospect.
NYR Player Comparison: Evgeny Grachev, current New York highest ranked forward prospect
Fits with Atlanta's needs: Yes, likely replacement for Kozlov at the end of the season with Evander Kane earning Kovalchuk's spot.
Add the first round pick and you've have a basis of what Atlanta would minimum accept from New York: Callahan, Staal, Grachev, 1st Round Pick for Kovalchuk and a throw in like Jim Slater.
Anisimov and Christensen are not even remotely comparable, let alone Staal and Christensen. Christensen was a journey-man type who was having a good season playing on a team that was dominant offensively. Saying "Oh we have too many centers, let's replace him with Staal" is just ridiculous. That's like me saying: "We have too many defensemen. Our need is a scoring winger, so replace Valabik with Kane."
There's also a difference between a PPG in the AHL at 22, vs a PPG at 19.
The same goes with Esposito vs Grachev. He may have been the highest ranked prospect according to this site, but Esposito was floundering in the Q and lets face it, any center in that organization is expendable. Just because they're the highest rated prospect in that organization, doesn't mean that dictates their value. Grachev is our top forward prospect, Kane is yours. Do you consider them interchangeable? How about Grachev and Tavares?
Just because the Thrashers ultimately wound up with one serviceable piece from the Hossa trade, that doesn't mean they're going to bend some team over for 3 months of Kovalchuk.
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