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02-08-2010, 03:05 PM
  #44
hpNYR
HF Forecaster
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lion Hound View Post
How do you factor the the water that surrounds LI? Meaning, the water temp is in the 40's right? So that being warmer than the air at the time of snowfall, usually doesn't that factor when tracking a storm? Just curious, I have heard that before.
That would factor in if we were talking about a weaker system say around 1000mb or more. The dynamics with this one are tremendous. As posted earlier, we can see thundersnow and definitley a period of blizzard like conditions especially by the immediate coast.

This wants to reach around 964 mb with its LP(low pressure). Storms this intense will explode over the benchmark, or a little before it.This helps create its own cold.

We're talking 964 mb here. Thats a category 2 to 3 hurricane if this is in the summer and in the gulf region.

One more note: Winds will be from the west before the storm, only changing to the northeast during it. This is perfect in efforts to minimize any mixing. South east winds could have triggered mixing issues.

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