Thread: Speculation: Pavelski's contract equivalent ?
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03-19-2010, 01:12 PM
Lost Art of Dynasty
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Ryan Kesler's contract is at six years at about $29.5 million. It's $4.25 million for the first two years, then $5.25 million for four
Long-term deals with players in their mid twenties (eg, Pavelski) are covering traditionally the most productive years of their career, leaving the player with less leverage when it expires in his thirties. It's the opposite when it comes to older players, ie, in their early thirties (eg, Marleau).

So if you break Kesler's (who is also in his mid twenties) contract down, it's two contracts in one:

2 yrs @ $4.25M
4 yrs @ $5.25M

Pavelski, if he was to sign a two or three year deal, would likely average between $3 to 3.5M. If his was to be a six year deal, then he would also get two contracts in one, example:

first 3 yrs @ $3.25M
next 3 yrs @ $4.25M

I'll bet he sticks to a two to three year term in an attempt to show the team he's worth more than ~$4.25M in his late twenties. I'm sure DW will be fine with that since it will keep the cap hit down.

In the case of Kesler, he's having a career year after coming off a Selke nomination. No time like the present then to cash in.

Last edited by JawandaPuck: 03-19-2010 at 01:18 PM.
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