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02-13-2005, 03:09 PM
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Join Date: Feb 2002
Country: New Zealand
Posts: 2,177
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I came to the conclusion yesterday that in many ways we've been taken in by what has been said in / leaked to the public. The sides have appeared stubborn, but I now conclude that it has mostly been posturing and positioning in the past months and the key point has always been (and I say this in hindsight) the declaration of a cancellation point.

If you look at the negotiating process between two sides who are looking to get the best possible deal they can, then you need a lot of pressure/risk before either side is willing to come in with their final offers. It's kind of like playing poker on a grander scale.

I have come to the conclusion that there is a high likelihood that a deal will get done in the next day or so and we will be surprised at the compromise based on what has been said in public (just no idea who will be compromising).

Take my neo-optimism any way you want, but I do believe there will be a deal.

Fish is offline