Thread: Speculation: Which Big Salaried Forward Goes?
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05-04-2010, 04:00 PM
  #90
param
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Quote:
Originally Posted by coooldude View Post
Like I said... I don't think he has proven that he has the skills to be a consistent 30+ goal scorer. Does he have the skills to score 30 goals? Yes. He has already and he is a skilled player. But a consistent 30+ goal scorer is another type of player, and while Seto may become that player, I am not as confident as others that he is definitely going to be that player.

To bring it back to the topic at hand... Yes, Seto is skilled. No, I don't think he's ready to replace Marleau "no problem," and I'm not sure yet whether he will ever be.

For those thinking 30+ goals, consistently, is easy, I give you:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pavel_Datsyuk
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henrik_Zetterberg
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jonathan_Toews
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An%C5%BEe_Kopitar
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_Kane
You realize when Zetterberg broke out into elite status in 05-06 he went 39 goals (05-06) - 33 goals (06-07) - 43 goals (07-08) - 31 goals (08-09). This past season was his first non-30 goal year since 03-04.

Kopitar has had two 30 goal years in four seasons, squeezing in a 27 goal (I suppose 3 goals makes ALL the difference) season in between.

Kane and Toews also fill the roles as playmakers on the team, we don't expect that from Seto. His job would be to get open or stay in front of the net.

Datsyuk, here's how his last 5 season follow: 30 goals (03-04) - 28 goals (04-05) - 27 goals (05-06) - 31 goals (06-07) - 32 goals (07-08) - 27 goals (08-09). Again like Zetterberg, Kane, Kopitar, and Toews, Datsyuk is heavily relied on to create plays. And again, that's something we don't expect from Setoguchi.

Fine I'll back track a little and say Setoguchi won't score 30, but realistically if Marleau doesn't come back obviously Setoguchi will get better ice time. So 25 goals is not out of the realm of possibilities. Imagine if our goal production this season dropped from 44 (that of Marleau) to 25 (that of Seto), so by 20 goals. Now look at the top eight in the Western Conference standings. San Jose's goals for (264) minus 20 = 244. Aside from Chicago and Vancouver the other five teams had 244 or less and made it into the playoffs. Everybody likes to use Detroit as the golden example right? 229!

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