Quote:
Originally Posted by Goldthorpe
Five season isn't "a quarter of a career", it's five. If you try to find a pattern over the course of seasons (and this is exactly what is claimed), it doesn't matter if these seasons are long, short or whatever, the only question of how many of them are in the sample. In this case, it's five.
Five seasons is five.. correct.. Is that what you meant to say? so a quarter of a players career is 5 seasons.. so where are your stats to show that a decent number of players actually play 20 seasons?
Statistics don't care if they are convenient for you or not. If you don't have enough data to observe a statistical pattern, then you don't have enough data to observe a statistical pattern. Mathematics won't change because they don't match expectations.

and 5 seasons gives you 5 peaks to go off of regardless if they're down or up.. Something I think is enough to base even a best guess theory..