Thread: OT: Hurricane Earl
View Single Post
Old
09-02-2010, 12:03 AM
  #21
RyanBozak
Registered User
 
RyanBozak's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Edison, NJ
Country: United States
Posts: 2,062
vCash: 500
Send a message via AIM to RyanBozak
Err, guess I'll bring the bad (or good) news of the night.

00Z suites of the models came out or are coming out. The GFS model, Nogaps model and Ukmet model have all shifted westward with their respective tracks and even have a landfall occurring on one or more of them in the NE and Mid Atlantic. I'll post images.


NOGAPS:


GFS:



UKMET:





MUCH further west than previous runs, which is not good. If you scroll up and read the section on how I mention the trough tilting negatively (or even neutral isn't good), the GFS and UKMET are both portraying that, with these runs. While these may look scary (or confusing ) don't read into too much. All of the models have been ALL over the place with this, as hurricanes are the hardest weather phenomenon to predict. Regardless, if all the models end up trending towards this solution, then one can read into it a little more than now. I'll keep you updated as the night goes on/any important information comes in.

RyanBozak is offline   Reply With Quote