Thread: Prospect Info: Rangers Prospect Poll: #4
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01-05-2011, 01:10 PM
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Originally Posted by MortUWary View Post
You admittedly see Sauer's upside as a #4 defenseman, which I agree with. The assessments of McDonagh and McIlrath are what I'd like clarity on. Each player progresses and matures differently. When you take a look at each player at a similar age (i.e. draft year), that is a nice start for projection in the professional ranks. McDonagh and McIlrath were both picked in the first half of the first rounds of their respective drafts, while Sauer was selected in the bottom of the second round. Sauer is what he is: a steady, stay-at-home third pairing defenseman. McDonagh and McIlrath were first round picks because of their upside: McD with his skating and puck moving ability and McI with his nasty streak, size and booming shot.

We all know that draft position is not the measure of how someone's career is going to go (see Luc Robitaille or Brett Hull or even Europeans such as Zetterberg and Lundqvist), but as far as North Americans who are heavily scouted and scrutinized from Juniors or Developmental Programs at such early ages, I'd tend to go with the opinion of scouting bureaus when they project McIlrath and McDonagh to be first round talents. Especially when they've had words like "dominant" used to describe their games. I don't think you'll ever hear Mike Sauer and dominant in the same sentence.

Ryan McDonagh in his draft year: ce&sa=U&ei=AbkkTciZGIGdlgeezOi_AQ&ved=0

Dylan McIlrath in his draft year:

Edit: I looked for Central Scouting info on Sauer, but was unable to find anything online from his draft year.
Well, I believe that Sauer was ranked as a late 1st rounder but fell to the mid-2nd because of injury concerns (which were justifiable). The thing with McDonagh was that he was drafted with the idea of him being a great two-way defender. However, the offensive part of his game never really developed as hoped. He still looks good defensively however.

McIlrath was drafted solely on the last three months of last season prior to the draft. He has the mean streak and the tools, but honestly, what are the chances that it all comes together? Draft history shows, most of these types of prospects, even if the they are great, hardworking kids, don't ever really completely develop into what scouts hope for.

While I think McIlrath's maximum upside is that of a Shea Weber type, realistically, I think he's more likely to become a poor man's Brooks Orpik.

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