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03-11-2011, 05:25 AM
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Originally Posted by BerniernextRoy View Post
Yeah I keep hearing the big one will strike, but how do scientist know the size of an earthquake will strike in the near future?
Well, the best they can do is estimate, but there are many signs and measurements that can be made to show the damage a rupture might cause. Things are constantly moving and changing through subduction and convergence zones, there are patterns, and precise measurements made with the fault's slip. San Andreas has slipped 7 meters since it's last big quake, the pressure is building, but we won't know exactly till it hits, the only guarantee is that it is inevitable, imminent, and it won't be anything lower than an 7.8 (the Northridge Quake was 6.7), with many estimating that it could reach the upper 9's. What makes it so deadly is it's vicinity to densely urban and developed areas, and the fact that it is so large. The population of California alone along with the fact that the whole state is going to be on it's head when it hits... The casualty and damage estimates are staggering.


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