Wings without Datsyuk
View Single Post
03-30-2011, 07:23 PM
Join Date: Jun 2006
Originally Posted by
Would be nice. I doubt it ever happens though, as baseball is structured to make it very easy to quantify such stats. Hockey is not. Too many factors in hockey are not easily measured in numbers.
I agree. It would be nice, though.
Just curious, what's the case that shows no player is worth more than $7M, or even $6M?
Without going whole-hog with it, when you look at the production of people who make 6+ mil and compare that to the people who make 5-6 mil there doesn't tend to be a very substantive difference, and if you look at something like a 'replacement value' it's almost universally easier to get more production out of two slots where the salary is split 4-6 mil and 2-4 mil than it is to get that production when the split is 6-8 mil and 0-2 mil for skaters, and I've already touched on the high-paid vs lower-paid goalie stuff.
There are a very, very few exceptions to this rule. Maybe four or five at most. And all forwards.
Someone may indeed ice a team that is near the cap but is not top heavy (the Wild?), but I don't think they'll be very good. You need go-to guys to be successful, and go-to guys cost coin. In fact, of the 13 teams with less than $1M of cap space, the Wild, imo, are the furthest thing from top-heavy, and they have the 2nd worst record, behind only the Devils, who have had a litany of other problems this year. I think being appropriately top-heavy (there is a limit somewhere, obviously) is a prerequisite for being successful.
The problem with the Wild is that they dumped 6 mil on a goalie, and that's cost them depth up front which has led to outrages like Andrew Brunette being 5th among forwards in TOI/g and Matt Cullen 3rd. Also, signing Havlat to that deal was really, really stupid.
I mean, look at the Preds. They are consistently successful, haven't spent more than 4.5 mil a year on anybody, and they've left 8+ mil of cap space on the table every year. If they were actually able to use that space and pick up those last two 4 million dollar skaters... I think that makes the difference for them between being a yearly 1st and out team and something much more dangerous. If those were dmen like Brad Stuart and an offensive guy like a Yandle or a Burns...?
View Public Profile
Find More Posts by HockeyinHD