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05-02-2011, 08:58 PM
  #4
Valrico Gold
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2011 Kentucky Derby

OK guys.

What do you think?

Of the likely runners, without (obviously) post postition as a factor.
We have:

Uncle Mo........the beautiful, imposing 2yr old champ has not had a smooth 3yr old campaign. Does he bounce back to form?

Dialed In......has the running style, and the right connections to win this. But has only 4 races under his belt, and will be in a wild situation that requires experience and maturity.

Archarcharch....has improved with the added distance, and looks set up to run well. Comes from a weak rider/trainer connection in a race where nerves of steel are a prerequisite.

Comma To The Top....will be on or with the leaders. Distance a big question.

Toby's Corner.....Surprised the racing world with his impressive Wood victory. He is very well set up to fire his best shot. Can Eddie Castro guide him to the wire first?

Pants On Fire.....he has plenty of foundation with 4 route races this year. He rated kindly for Napravnik in the LaDerby and should be ready to rumble.

Midnight Interlude....he shocked the racing world with his SA Derby victory, while coming off of a maiden win. Baffert is a wizard, but this guy lacks experience.

Soldat....has plenty of foundation. He's quietly coming up to the race and will need to revert back to his off the pace style to win this IMO. Not out of it.

Brilliant Speed......was well prepped off a two month layoff to win the Bluegrass. Good connections, but has not performed well on dirt to this point.

Master Of Hounds....is bred for dirt, and showed his liking for it with an impressive race against older in Dubai. He comes from well respected connections and should be watched this week.

Nehro....has the running style to win this race. But has run twice in the last 5 weeks and lacks experience to an extent.

Mucho Macho Man.....has taken his time in preparing for this. Should be wound tight and ready to roll. The distance is the only question for him.

Santiva........is a dark horse. Throw out the Bluegrass. His dirt efforts make him a contender here. He also has a win over the track.

Shackleford....won't get much respect. He's run two bang-up races going 1 1/8 miles, is well prepared, and will be close to the pace.

There you have it. No clear heavy favorite.

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