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05-10-2011, 10:54 PM
Join Date: May 2011
Originally Posted by
What people don't realize is that numbers do not translate directly from the KHL to NHL.
It doesn't mean if you score 50 Pts in 50 games in the KHL that it means you are automatically under a PPG in the NHL because of the "perceived lower quality of play" in the KHL.
The KHL is a completely different game. It is lower scoring and penalties are not called as stricktly as they are in the NHL.
The ice surfaces are larger and require more skating and therefore less time on the ice because of fatigue.
Jagr however has been playing over 21 minutes a game the last 3 years in the KHL.
If you watch him play in this World Championship, you can clearly see he still is a world class player and NHL caliber and not the 50-60 Pts ranger but rather a player capable of being PPG easily.
I still hold to my 60 point prediction if he were to comeback and my reasons are this (and they have nothing to do with KHL stats since as we all know the case of Marcel Hossa proves them pointless):
1) he's older. he needs more recovery time. he can't play 25 minutes a night consistently in an NHL schedule anymore, that's just not smart. less minutes = less points
2) he'd still be a dominant player but a lot of dominant players are not PPG players. Marian Hossa is a dominant player in the same mold as Jagr (puck possession, good balance, great wrist shot, big but not overly physical, and a magical passer/stickhandler), but he rarely is a PPG player...Hossa hasn't been PPG since the last time Jagr was PPG in the NHL as a matter of fact...2006-07.
3) his last season in the NHL, he was a 70 point player. OK that was under Tom Renney and playing with poor linemates but it was also 3 seasons ago and Jagr's skills are bound to have declined proportionally with age. I bet he could still dangle and look like his old self, but I just don't see the results being there night in and night out if he were to come back. So still holding to 60-65 points.
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