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06-07-2011, 06:25 PM
  #741
Beacon
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Let's look just at the 2003 draft. It was an exceptionally good year, we can all agree on that. It's been 8 years since the draft. Let's say it took these guys 3 years go make their rookie season, so that leaves another 5 years to put points up.

Only 6 put up 200 points, which would be an average of 40 points over 5 years.

Another 4 players were defensemen.

So out of the 15 forwards who went between #12 and #30 in the exceptional 2003 draft, only 6 have averaged 40 points or more per season.

In fact, only 9 out of 15 forwards got 100 points in the 8 years since they were drafted. If they played 4-5 season, that's only 20-25 points season. Again, in the exception 2003 draft.

You can't possibly argue that 2011 is projected to be a better draft than 2003. Anything can happen, but to expect that is not reasonable.

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