: Prospect Info:
Odds of NHL success by height - UPDATED WITH SECOND ROUNDERS TOO
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07-09-2011, 01:47 PM
Sent to HF Minors
Join Date: May 2007
While I agree that 15 players is a small sample, what is even more striking is that every inch of height reduces chances that a player will go on to be a scorer, among kids drafted at the same general range.
Thus, 6'2 is less likely to become a scorer than a 6'1 player drafted in the same range of draft picks (for ex, comparing second rounders to second rounders).
What this show is NOT that smaller is better, but rather that height is overrated and bigger players tend to go disproportionately high for their skill level. As a result, anyone who is a half-decent big guy gets drafted in the top 10-12 picks in most drafts (a little later in great drafts), and after that, teams are drafting big guys with no skill above a grinder at the NHL level.
But little guys with elite skill are still there. Ultimately, would you prefer a small guy like Michael Cammalleri or a big guy like Mark Bell?
Because ultimately, based on past drafts, that is your choice if you are a playoff team that does not have the luxury of a top draft pick.
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