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07-12-2011, 10:43 AM
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Montreal, PQ
Country: Canada
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Originally Posted by Teufelsdreck View Post
Everyone knows there are 30 NHL teams and an average drought is a meaningless concept that has no predictive value for sports oddsmakers. If I were making predictions, I would look at a team's preceding few drafts as well as recent trades and free agent signings. That might have provided foresight that the Blackhawks had a realistic shot at winning the Cup in 2010 or the Penguins in 2009 but it wouldn't have been as good a predictor for the Bruins in 2011 because their one high pick, Tyler Seguin, didn't have the impact of Crosby, Malkin, Toews, or Kane (not to mention Stamkos).
Hey we aren't here to make bets or odds, he's just bringing up the interesting point that our cup drought isn't something out of the ordinary, it's pretty much the average. If you feel it's meaningless you're simply missing the point.

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