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07-23-2011, 11:32 AM
Giroux tha Damaja
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Originally Posted by Jester View Post
Expected value arguments always go over well around here. Good luck with this.
Do you play poker at all Jester? I think you could make a good player, depending on your disposition.

The math regarding those player valuations is really similar to what poker players do as far as assigning a probability that his opponent holds each of a set of specific hands in his possible range of holdings, and then his expected win percentage against each to come up with the likelihood that he will win in his current situation (which they of course then compare to the money odds they're looking at). Those guys are almost never putting someone on a single hand and deciding from that.

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