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08-11-2011, 09:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Yoshimitsu View Post
No, because the hypothetical team full of Ryan Howards would have fewer opportunities to drive in runs because he reaches base far less often than Victorino. Victorino's OBP is 50 points higher. That's huge.

Not necessarily. Howard bats cleanup because it best suits his skill set. That doesn't mean that there aren't other players who could do the same job he's doing.

Ryan Howard is a good run producer because he's a good hitter. There's no denying that. However, Shane Victorino is a better hitter, and everything being equal, would produce more runs than Ryan Howard. Despite what some people in this thread would have you believe, the numbers don't lie.
But doesn't' the numbers that don't lie saying that Victorino doesn't hit better when given the situation -- he hits less with runners on and in scoring position -- and Howard hits better? And also Ryan's being able to pop more out has to give him the advantage in similar situation, doesn't' it?

There are reasons players are better suited for certain slots in the lineup... reasons beyond opportunities. Some players given the same situations just do better with the chance. Plugging in players on the same team will not produce the same results, even if it is a player with a better batting average.

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