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08-30-2011, 12:37 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Hogwarts
Country: United States
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I'm no economist but let's examine what was this past offseason's goalie market.

Teams needing a goalie:
Capitals (possibly. Varlamov was a question mark.)

Goalies available:

I did a quick search on being "first to market" and found something that I think is extremely applicable in our situation.

Conventional wisdom says being first to market creates a competitive advantage. Reality is more complicated. Market opportunities are constantly opening and closing, and a hit idea at one point could be a dud a year earlier or a yawning "me too" business a year later. It's tough—likely impossible—to pinpoint the best moment to enter a market, but common sense dictates new entrepreneurs can improve their odds if they weigh how much they stand to gain or lose by waiting.

Homer decided to be first to market (tends to be his strategy overall). He got his man. So be it. We got a goalie.

Cross off the Flyers and Bryzgalov.

Then Roloson re-signs with TB.

Cross off the Lightning and Roloson.

Then the AVs go insane, and trade a boatload for Varlamov.

Cross off the AVs, but now the Caps are clearly in the market, with only one FA goalie left.

To suggest that people are crazy for insinuating that one of the goalies might come at a real bargain is...well...crazy. 3 goalies, 3 buyers. 4 if you really believed the Caps.

I never saw anyone specifically say that Vokoun would sign for X dollar amount; but I did say people say something along the lines of "it's very possible that someone (presumably Vokoun) comes at a bargain". It was REALLY apparant after the Varlamov trade. There was 1 goalie, and 1 buyer. He was either signing there, or not signing at all (or at least not anytime soon).

Last edited by DUHockey9: 08-30-2011 at 12:44 PM.
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