Thread: Value of: Jaromir Jagr at the deadline
View Single Post
Old
09-08-2011, 01:54 AM
  #26
eklunds source
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Ed Snider's basement
Posts: 7,920
vCash: 500
To acquire Jagr at the deadline, a team would need $709,677.42 in cap space. Not $3.3m.

Believe it or not, a lot of teams would prefer an expiring contract (Jagr) instead of a contract with another year+ on it (Penner)... A team like Vancouver would probably love to add a solid top-6 winger without mucking with next years' cap situation.

The fact Jagr is 39 has no effect on his value; the only thing that will affect his value is his play this year. Very talented players can and are easily playing - and playing well - into the twilight of their career. Selanne, Lidstrom, Recchi... If Jagr can hit 20g 25a by the trade deadline you can be sure he'll have value around the league (providing his supporting stats - Corsi, Zone Starts, QualComp, etc are reasonable).

His value will be pretty much directly mapped from his play. With no recent NHL history, the first 60ish games are the only information GMs will have about him and his capabilites. Since nobody here can gaze into a crystal ball and predict how he'll be (short of KHL->NHL translations), there's no way anyone here can say his value accurately.

Interestingly, transferring his KHL statistics to NHL equivalents suggest that if he'd stayed in the NHL, he would have put up 74, 78, and 71 point seasons. I don't think another 70+ point season is out of the question; Messier, Hull, Oates, and Selanne all have 67+ point seasons at age 39 or 40.

eklunds source is offline   Reply With Quote