Thread: Season Forecast
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09-27-2011, 05:28 PM
  #14
sbjnyc
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I'm not so much making a reference to his scoirng ability, but rather his ability to stay healthy. In the last 7 seasons he has played in 70+ games twice so how many games should we expect him to play?

He has usually been consistent when he is playing though. He normally averages about 4 shots per game and scores on 15% of them for about 0.6 goals per game. But last year he only averaged about 3 shots and scored less often. If he can play, say, 65 games with his normal figures, that's about 40 goals. If last year he played with those metrics he'd have scored an additional 14-15 goals. Should we ignore that?

What I'm omitting is the Richards factor. If Gabs gets back to his old ways and stays healthy I think he can break 50 goals. I'm not sure he can do both. Perhaps I'm being too pessimistic but it comes from a few decades of rangers fandom.

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