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12-30-2011, 06:34 PM
Damaged Goods
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Originally Posted by sandlansd View Post
And clearly 5v5 goals/shot deviation is an excellent statistic to use for ranking goalies.

After all, the top 4 are:

1. Thomas
2. Bryzgalov
3. Luongo
4. Hiller

Well... 1 out of 4 ain't bad I guess...

The author of that post even states the idea that perhaps it isn't the best analysis to use... There's a reason it hasn't caught on.

Also, that analysis would seem to state that signing a goalie to the contract we gave Bryz is a total joke. The analysis suggests that Tim Thomas (who according to the author was "head and shoulders above the rest") is only 11 goals better than the mean per season. That means that he would have a GAA that is only .13 better than average over an 82 game season.

But I'm probably wrong. Bryz and LOLuongo and Hiller are probably just all really really horribly unlucky. Advanced metrics are ALWAYS good predictors of future performance... especially obscure ones that haven't caught on!!!

Today, most hockey minds have converged on what the Contrarian Goaltender called "the one stat argument": that save percentage alone is the best way to judge goaltenders. With the arrival of more detailed data from the NHL, we can now also restrict ourselves to even-strength save percentage, which creates a more level playing field.

I've had enough of your obnoxious and unwarranted sarcasm. Good night.

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