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01-03-2012, 04:25 PM
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Originally Posted by HansH View Post
So, you think that the change from TM to DS will improve the team from a .563 winning percentage to a .607 clip for the rest of the year... that's what you're saying?
It's a reasonable possibility, not a lock--the issue is that I don't see any further improvements beyond that.

If the team makes an 8% improvement in points over the results from the first 40 games, with no other significant changes in the lineup, I think you'd have to credit the coaching staff. That said, .607 is about the best that could be realistically expected (25-15-1), resulting in 96 points and an 8-seed. If the team gets lucky, or one of the higher seeds gets the flu/injured/left at the airport for a month, 7th could be in play. But the going is tough for the rest of the year, 8th is about as high as I would expect, and that's if everything goes correctly.

The good news is that the problem is easy to identify--not enough goals. The bad news is that solving that problem has been very, very difficult thus far.

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