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01-04-2012, 02:00 PM
Join Date: Sep 2004
Rising star assets
(will continue to improve and should be all-star caliber players in the future)
31 Carey Price
76 P.K. Subban
67 Max Pacioretty
current cap hit: 5.25M$
likely 2012-2013 cap hit: 10-12M$
(will continue to improve from level they are at now)
81 Lars Eller
51 David Desharnais
71 Louis Leblanc
46 Andrei Kostitsyn
61 Raphael Diaz
74 Alexei Emelin
68 Yannick Weber
53 Ryan White
26 Josh Gorges
current cap hit: 13M$ (avg 1.4M$/player)
likely 2012-2013 cap hit: 15-17M$ (avg 1.6-1.8M$/player)
( are who they are, won't improve much but should maintain current level for forseable future)
45 Mike Blunden
13 Michael Cammalleri
72 Erik Cole
21 Brian Gionta
32 Travis Moen
15 Petteri Nokelainen
14 Tomas Plekanec
17 Chris Campoli
30 Peter Budaj
cap hit: 26M$ (avg 2.9M$/player)
likely 2012-2013 cap hit : 26M$ (avg 2.9M$/player)
(have moved from stagnating position to declining position, little chance that they return to previous level and likely to continue declining from season to season)
11 Scott Gomez
52 Mathieu Darche
75 Hal Gill
22 Tomas Kaberle
79 Andrei Markov
cap hit: 20M$ (avg 4M$/player)
likely 2012-2013 cap hit: 20M$ (avg 4M$/player)
when you break it down this way, imo it reinforces that we do have a solid base of assets to build a contender from, the problem remains spending far too much of our cap on players that are regressing (players in the red).
quite simply, if we could move 1-2 of the high salary "red" players (Gomez/Kaberle), while replacing them with "grey" players, and then move 1-2 "grey" players and replace them with "green" players, we'd quite likely be saving $ while icing a more competitive team...
with that extra cap space, and ideally a few assets (picks/prospects) to work with from the players shipped out, a schrewd GM could manoeuvre their way into a top 10 pick, or even an extra top-10 pick (assuming we get one on our own), and thus hopefully add two more "blue" assets to our mix.
who are all likely "green" assets with an outside chance at becoming "blue" assets...
and a few other prospects in the pipelines that could potentially turn into "green" NHL assets eventually.
take all of that into account, and we have some pretty solid depth and strong NHL potential prospects, especially in the "complementary" or "secondary" level.
if we had our big cap dollars locked in with established stars, we would already have our contending team...
so now the struggle is simply to transition the millions we have wasted in the likes of Gomez, Kaberle, Cammalleri (~18M$ right there) and gradually re-allocate that into players actually playing at that "level" (be it by drafting them and grooming them ourselves, or being far more strategic and effective in spending on the UFA market or in trades).
Canucks- Sedin/Sedin/Hamhuis = 16.6M$ (all signed on UFA deals)
Blackhawks- Hossa/Sharp/Seabrook = 17M$ (all signed on UFA deals *Keith as RFA signing well into UFA status)
Bruins- Bergeron/Chara/Thomas = 17M$ (all signed on UFA deals)
San Jose- THornton/Marleau/Boyle = 20.5M$ (all signed on UFA deals)
Detroit- Datsyuk/Lidstrom/Zetterberg = ~18M$ (all signed on UFA deals)
when you consider that our top paid players contribute so little to the team, compared to what the top paid players on contending teams contribute to their respective teams, it's no wonder we are the worst ranked team of the top 10 salary spending teams in the league (and by a pretty solid margin... 5 pts behind Sabres, the next closest team).
Injuries you say? I say phooey, injuries are afflicting every team, and while we've lost a huge amount of "salary cap" to injuries, Gomez's 7.4M$/13 games played is a huge part of that, and his absence is at best a marginal factor in our disappointing play... and Markov's absence, given that it extends almost 2 years now, can hardly be considered a reasonable excuse, given the circumstances.
fix that obvious and awful imbalance (created directly by Gainey/Gauthier and their approach to roster building), and we could see a pretty quick turn around.
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