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01-23-2012, 12:58 AM
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Your shooting percentage stat really doesn't tell you much. The problem is Mitchell for instance might take one or two shots a game most nights. Over the course of a hundred shots could span a period of upto 50 games. Over those 50 games, a fair percentage will be facing poor defense or a poor goaltender. So sometimes his poor shooting is going to be more effective. That's likely why a lot of mediocre players 'return to the mean' as you say.

It's not a worthless stat for sure, but I think it's only truly useful for players with a high shot count per game.

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