Possible Trade Ideas Take IV...
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01-24-2012, 04:47 PM
dun worry he's cool
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: South of the Border
I think people are severely undervaluing the demands Columbus would have in a Carter trade. In the little healthy time he's had with Columbus, he's been pretty decent at the very least. Yes, 17 points in 30 games isn't good enough, but if you take out his bad start to the season (which included an injury) he has 10 goals in the last 22 games. That's pace for 37 goals in a full 82 game season. Even including those first 8 games, he would be on pace for 27 goals in a horribly off season, on a team with absolutely no support.
If you look at the team in general, it's scary to think how even average goaltending would have "fixed" this team. Mason has a 3.42 GAA in 26 games with a 0.881 Sv%. If you bump that up only to 25th best in the league (like their other goalie, Sanford has in his 24 starts), you'd reduce the number of goals against by 22. That would drop his GAA by 0.90. Mason's been the starter in 5 regulation 1 goal losses and 2 shootout losses. Had his goaltending been merely below average, they would pull out an additional point in each of those (on average) for an additional 7 points on the season. Add to that half a point per 2 goal loss (because some of those were 1 goal losses + ENG, also averaging better goaltending probably gives a win or two) and this team is still missing the playoffs, but is no longer anywhere near a shoo-in for last. Fix a couple injury woes and suddenly the team is hanging around with Phoenix and Dallas in the standings instead of Anaheim and Edmonton.
The point is, Columbus can't afford to just get rid of him "for whatever people will offer." If they don't get a realistic offer for him, they'll rightfully pass and keep him to themselves. They won't let him go for less than "Young, at least average roster player + quality prospect." That means no Zid + Larsson, no Brodziak or Zanon involved at all. The "cheapest" we'd realisticly get Carter for would be Seto/Lats + Phillips/Zucker/Larsson.
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