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01-26-2012, 08:45 AM
  #55
Bjindaho
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Hickey is in his 3rd pro season

He isn't a bust per se (much like Daigle wasn't really a bust). More of a poor pick.

IMO, a bust is a guy who never sees the show. Hickey could still play over 100 games (the make or break point of a guy being an NHLer at some point in his career).

That being said, a top 10 pick should net you a top 6, top 4, starting goalie.

There are more than a couple of D from his own draft year who have made it as well as D from later years (Voynov is a 2008 pick FFS).

A 4th overall pick should be able to make the NHL by the end of his ELC (and not get buried by guys taken with lower picks/journeymen NHL D).

To illustrate this:
Here are the other D picks drafted AFTER Hickey that have played at least 1 NHL game

Doughty (2, 2008)
Bogosian (3, 2008)
Pietrangelo (4, 2008)
Schenn (5, 2008)
Myers (12, 2008)
Teubert (13, 2008)
Karlsson (15, 2008)
Gardiner (17, 2008)
Sbisa (19, 2008)
Del Zotto (20, 2008)
Carlson (27, 2008)

(Note: that is all 1st round D except Cuma)

Voynov (32, 2008)
Josi (38, 2008)
Sauve (41, 2008)
Wiercioch (42, 2008)
Gaunce (50, 2008)
Hamonic (53, 2008)
Scandella (55, 2008)
Bourdon (67, 2008)
Kundratek (90, 2008)
Motin (103, 2008)
Brodie (113, 2008)
Borowiecki (139, 2008)
Larsen (149, 2008)
Spurgeon (156, 2008)
Holos (170, 2008)
Demers (186, 2008)
Bartkowski (190, 2008)


Hedman (2, 2009)
Ekman-Larsson (6, 2009)
Cowen (9, 2009)
Ellis (11, 2009)
de Haan (12, 2009)
Kulikov (14, 2009)
Leddy (16, 2009)
Rundblad (17, 2009)
Moore (21, 2009)
Erixon (23, 2009)
Olsen (28, 2009)
Despres (30, 2009)

(The ENTIRE 1st round D group has played at least 1 game)

Elliott (49, 2009)
Orlov (55, 2009)
McNabb (66, 2009)
Urbom (73, 2009)
Savard (94, 2009)
Ekholm (102, 2009)
Klementyev (122, 2009)


Gudbranson (3, 2010)
Fowler (12, 2010)
Faulk (37, 2010)


Larsson (4, 2011)

On top of that, there are 17 non-first round D from his year that have played NHL including Alec Martinez of LA. So, by my count, that is buried by Johnson (no questions there), Doughty (no questions, but he was a 2nd overall pick), Voynov (later draft and 2nd round), Martinez (same draft, later round), Mitchell, Drewiske, Greene and Scuderi (all journeymen).

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