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02-10-2012, 05:45 PM
  #57
Talks to Goalposts
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Join Date: Apr 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MeowLeafs View Post
Can he? Sure. Will he? Probably not, but it wouldn't surprise me if he did.

Drew Stafford hit 30 goals last season for the first time, had a higher goals per game ratio, and is now on pace for less then 15.
That's where guys that start putting up big number because they were converting at an usually high right tend to falter while guys that score on volume tend to stay at that level. Shot production has a far bigger skill component than shooting% and is much less volatile.



Stafford wasn't likely to shoot at 17.6% again while Pacioretty probably should have no problem maintaining an 11.5% (which is pretty average for a forward). Stafford was a 2.89 shots per game guy last season and is a 2.63 shots per game man this season showing how that aspect tends to remain about the same. Pacioretty is a 3.69 shots per game guy this season which is something that's far more likely to be maintained than a high percentage.

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