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02-15-2012, 07:57 PM
  #478
Spamhuis
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Espher View Post
So I took a look at the years in which Brian Burke was drafting, excluding the past five drafts (2007-2011). This amounts to 10 drafts -- 1992, 1993, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2005, 2006. The criteria for a 'hit' was a player clearing 300 games played (I tried to make sure the totals included this year's games-to-date, but I might have missed a couple of players).

By year, here is how Burke ranked:

1992: Burke - 9.09% (1/11), League - 15.91% (42/264)
1993: Burke - 37.50% (3/8), League - 19.23% (55/286)
1998: Burke - 16.67% (2/12), League - 18.60% (48/258)
1999: Burke - 25.00% (2/8), League - 10.66% (29/272)
2000: Burke - 0.00% (0/7), League - 12.11% (35/289)
2001: Burke - 33.33% (2/6), League - 14.88% (43/289)
2002: Burke - 0.00% (0/11), League - 13.06% (38/291)
2003: Burke - 10.00% (1/10), League - 13.01% (38/292)
2005: Burke - 16.67% (1/6), League - 6.96% (16/230)
2006: Burke - 0.00% (0/5), League - 3.27% (7/214)

Total: Burke - 14.29% (12/84), League - 13.07% (351/2685)
Total (Pre-2005): Burke - 15.07% (11/73), League - 14.64% (328/2241)

Here are the totals by round:
1st: Burke - 70.00% (7/10), League - 54.04% (154/285)
2nd: Burke - 14.29% (1/7), League - 18.30% (58/317)
3rd: Burke - 16.67% (2/12), League - 12.37% (37/299)
4th: Burke - 0.00% (0/9), League - 6.77% (21/310)
5th: Burke - 20.00% (2/10), League - 5.64% (18/319)
6th+: Burke - 0.00% (0/36), League - 5.45% (63/1155)

I haven't tried any other angles, like examining how he did versus the same draft positions versus other years, or removing certain groupings altogether to gauge performance (top x picks, only checking performance in each year for rounds 1-5, etc).

Burke is more or less hovering right around the average, with a couple of blips -- for example, in 1999, he came out well ahead of the curve (especially in the first round which was full of disappointing selections), but in 2000, he happened to pick one of the first round busts (getting one of the hits would have put him above the average since he had seven picks).

Edit: Looking quickly, removing top five selections would give some of the following:

Total: Burke - 8.86% (7/79), League - 11.65% (307/2635)
Total (Pre-2005): Burke - 10.14% (7/69), League - 13.22% (291/2201)
1st Round: Burke - 40.00% (2/5), League - 46.81% (110/235)

Again, not that far off the mark considering the sample sizes.
As a vancouver fan I have come to realize that it is not his draft selections that I had a problem with it was his frequency of giving them away. So while he has a nice percentage of quality players picked he picks much less than other gm's in his past stints.

Obviously he has picked more in TO so hopefully he gets some good talent for you.

Don't let dave nonis pick, however. Patrick white is still a major facepalm

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