Erik Gustafsson assigned to the Phantoms, Feb. 17
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02-19-2012, 04:55 PM
Join Date: Sep 2007
Originally Posted by
Gus's +/- numbers are not sustainable at his skill level. His on-ice SV% and SH% numbers should stick out to you like a red flag, not a badge of honor, just like a pitcher with a .200 BABIP. You have to understand that a lot of hockey results are outside of an individual player's control, and giving a player 100% credit for certain results just because he is on the ice is going to directly lead to misattributions (ie. the Flyers just demoted their most effective two-way /60 defenseman today).
This is exactly what I am saying... where are we disagreeing? Is that considered luck or statistical contributions from other members of the team? Also how do you classify his skill? His statistics show that he was average defensively while contributing offensively.
When looking at hockey advanced stats, you need to take in almost everything to get a, somewhat, clear view of how a player is doing. This includes QOC, QOT, Corsi, Fenwick, etc etc. If we start qualifying these as luck, than how/what do we base a player off of? Just watching them? I see that as more opinionated than actual fact.
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