2012-2013 Sharks Roster analysis
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02-29-2012, 05:08 PM
Join Date: Nov 2011
Originally Posted by
i guess the question is, and as you pointed out in regards to jamie mcginn and his SH%. is it something that will regress? is he getting lucky?
Just watching him play brings your numbers here to life, though. cool stuff.
In terms of scoring, he's actually been ridiculously, unsustainably unlucky. His on-ice SH% is just 4.72% - no one is that "bad" at making their shots. The pucks will go in for him (and the players he's on the ice with) eventually as long as he sustains these underlying numbers or anything close to them. Whether or not he'll be able to is anyone's guess but from a subjective standpoint I've definitely seen things from him that indicate he will.
He's also had a really poor 0.912 SV% behind him at even strength which makes sense since he's really only gotten serious minutes since the goaltending implosion. That's why he's minus-2 on the year. But, yeah, anything can happen in 18 games - eventually the percentages will stabilize. For example, if Wingels had received just a league-average on-ice SH% (8%) so far, he'd have been on the ice for 10 Sharks even strength goals instead of 6. Fair assumption to make IMO that he would have picked up points on a couple of those.
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