Reffing based upon the score
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11-17-2003, 10:17 AM
John Flyers Fan
Join Date: Feb 2002
Originally Posted by
Your theory probably holds water, but I would like to see some other statitics, such as the opponents of those teams and their PIM totals, or even more detailed, the score at the time of PPs (of which I am not asking you to do, that's a rather time consuming task). I think your list, while it is a good one, is perhaps unintentional confirmation bias, no offense. It doesn't tell the whole story, but your numbers generally support your theory, and that's fine--I'm think your theory is probably true, that there are a generally even mix of 'tough' teams in both lists is in your favor--but I'm guessing that you saw those numbers and stopped there. But like I said, I think your theory will end up being right. It's a very interesting find.
I didn't go into a ton of detail, obviously at this point some teams have played more games than others so it doesn't take that into account.
IMO if the officitaing was done correctly, you would see the better teams have more PP's.
As a general rule the better teams spend more time in the other teams zone with control of the puck. Most infractions occur when teams get running around or tired in their own end and end up chasing, and have to commit penalties.
When you look in the box scores it's amazing how often the teams have the same # of PP's or only a differential of one. If a team is controlling the play and deserves to have 8 PP's to the other teams 2 PP's then so be it.
One other factor that also comes into play is if a team has already scored a PP goal in a game, I believe that refs are less likely to give that team additional PP's.
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