Thread: Lottery Odds
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03-25-2012, 12:45 PM
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Originally Posted by Steve Shutt View Post
The 2012 NHL Draft Lottery Odds are listed below - as of March 23rd

25.0% - Columbus Blue Jackets
18.8% - Edmonton Oilers
14.2% - Montreal Canadiens
10.7% - New York Islanders
8.1% - Toronto Maple Leafs
6.2% - Minnesota Wild
4.7% - Tampa Bay Lightning
3.6% - Anaheim Ducks
2.7% - Carolina Hurricanes
2.1% - Winnipeg Jets
1.5% - Buffalo Sabres
1.1% - Calgary Flames
0.8% - San Jose Sharks
0.5% - Washington Capitals (from Colorado)


Important to note that Montreal not only has a 14.2 % of moving up but that they also have a 29.7% chance of moving back to 4th if NYI, Toronto, Minny, or Tampa win the lottery.
FYI those are not the true odds as they don't take into account the rule that a team can only move up or down by 4 spots.

One would need to know exactly how it's calculated to figure out the adjusted odds. Do they pick the 16th place team first or the 1st place team first?

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